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League One · Regular Season - 44 April 18, 2026 16:00
Mansfield Town
#10 · 65 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Luton
#7 · 74 pts
J. Russell 21'
J. Russell (ast. L. Reed) 28'
40' (ast. E. Lawrence) K. Palmer
50' (ast. K. Palmer) S. Morris

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mansfield Town a 41% win probability (draw 25%, Luton 33%). The final result was Mansfield Town 2–2 Luton. In 1 previous meetings, Mansfield Town have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Luton.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
14
5
Shots on target
7
5
Saves
2
35%
Possession
65%
3
Corners
9
11
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Russell
21'
⚽J. Russell · ast. L. Reed
28'
40'
ast. E. Lawrence · K. Palmer⚽
46'
J. Johnson / M. Andersen ↕
50'
ast. K. Palmer · S. Morris⚽
↕ T. Roberts / R. Oates
58'
↕ L. Reed / N. Moriah-Welsh
58'
E. Hewitt
66'
66'
K. Naismith
69'
N. Wells / A. Al Hamadi ↕
↕ J. Russell / O. Irow
79'
↕ S. McLaughlin / D. Dwyer
79'
80'
G. Kodua / E. Lawrence ↕
D. Dwyer
84'
89'
J. Richards / S. Morris ↕
89'
D. Cole / D. van den Berg ↕
↕ R. Hendry / F. Blake-Tracy
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
41.08%
Mansfield
25.16%
X ←
33.76%
Luton
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.16% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Mansfield
1.41
—
—
Luton
1.42
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lincoln Lincoln 46 103
2 Cardiff Cardiff 46 91
3 Stockport County Stockport County 46 77
4 Bradford Bradford 46 77
5 Bolton Bolton 46 75
6 Stevenage Stevenage 46 75
7 Luton Luton 46 74
8 Plymouth Plymouth 46 73
9 Huddersfield Huddersfield 46 67
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 46 65
11 Wycombe Wycombe 46 63
12 Reading Reading 46 63
13 Blackpool Blackpool 46 60
14 Doncaster Doncaster 46 60
15 Barnsley Barnsley 46 59
16 Wigan Wigan 46 56
17 Burton Albion Burton Albion 46 54
18 Peterborough Peterborough 46 53
19 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 46 53
20 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 46 52
21 Exeter City Exeter City 46 49
22 Port Vale Port Vale 46 42
23 Rotherham Rotherham 46 41
24 Northampton Northampton 46 35
Lineups
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 3-4-2-1
1
G 7.90
5
R. Sweeney D 6.20
23
Adedeji Oshilaja D 6.30
4
E. Hewitt D 6.20
3
S. McLaughlin 79' M 6.30
24
R. Hendry M 6.60
25
L. Reed 1 👟 58' M 6.90
7
L. Akins M 6.20
29
T. Roberts 58' F 6.90
13
J. Russell 2 ⚽ 79' F 9.00
11
W. Evans F 7.20
Bench
14
D. Dwyer 13' F 6.20
20
F. Blake-Tracy 1' D
28
J. Gardner F
2
K. Knoyle D
22
N. Moriah-Welsh 34' M 6.90
44
O. Irow 13' F 6.50
18
R. Oates 34' F 6.30
Luton Luton 4-1-4-1
24
J. Keeley G 7.00
3
Kal Naismith D 7.60
5
M. Andersen 45' D 6.50
16
H. Odoffin D 7.30
17
N. Lonwijk D 6.30
8 L. Walsh L. Walsh M 7.90
32
E. Lawrence 1 👟 80' M 6.60
54
Kasey Palmer 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.20
6
D. van den Berg 89' M 7.20
14
S. Morris 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.50
12
A. Al Hamadi 69' F 6.30
Bench
27
J. Richards 3' M
21
N. Wells 23' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
J. Russell
F · Mansfield
9.00
2 ⚽
3 shots · 20 pass
Kasey Palmer
M · Luton
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 37 pass
G · Mansfield
7.90
· 24 pass
L. Walsh
L. Walsh
M · Luton
7.90
· 80 pass
Kal Naismith
D · Luton
7.60
1 shots · 72 pass
S. Morris
M · Luton
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 14 pass
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 92 7.90 — — — 24 14% — — —
R. Sweeney D 92 6.20 — — 1 18 14% 1 — —
Adedeji Oshilaja D 92 6.30 — — — 31 23% — — —
E. Hewitt D 92 6.20 — — — 33 23% 1 1 —
S. McLaughlin M 79 6.30 — — — 24 15% 1 — —
R. Hendry M 91 6.60 — — — 22 17% 2 — —
L. Reed M 58 6.90 — 1 1 25 19% 1 — —
L. Akins M 92 6.20 — — 1 26 15% — — —
T. Roberts F 58 6.90 — — 2 11 6% 1 — —
J. Russell F 79 9.00 2 — 3 20 16% 1 — —
W. Evans F 92 7.20 — — 1 23 18% 2 — —
D. Dwyer F 13 6.20 — — — 1 1% — 1 —
F. Blake-Tracy D 1 — — — — — — — — —
N. Moriah-Welsh M 34 6.90 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
O. Irow F 13 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
R. Oates F 34 6.30 — — — 6 2% — — —
Luton Luton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Keeley G 92 7.00 — — — 40 32% — — —
Kal Naismith D 92 7.60 — — 1 72 59% 5 1 —
M. Andersen D 45 6.50 — — — 45 42% — — —
H. Odoffin D 92 7.30 — — 1 79 72% 3 — —
N. Lonwijk D 92 6.30 — — — 44 37% 3 — —
L. Walsh M 92 7.90 — — — 80 75% 2 — —
E. Lawrence M 80 6.60 — 1 2 19 13% 1 — —
Kasey Palmer M 92 8.20 1 1 3 37 26% 3 — —
D. van den Berg M 89 7.20 — — 1 36 30% 2 — —
S. Morris M 89 7.50 1 — 3 14 10% 1 — —
A. Al Hamadi F 69 6.30 — — 2 10 9% — — —
J. Richards M 3 — — — — 2 2% — — —
N. Wells F 23 6.30 — — 1 8 6% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Luton?
The final score was Mansfield Town 2–2 Luton.
What did the model predict before Mansfield Town vs Luton?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Mansfield Town win, 25% to a draw, and 33% to an Luton win.