A-League Men
· Regular Season - 25
April 17, 2026 11:35
C. Nduka
(ast. J. Rawlins)
31'
C. Nduka
(ast. F. Lino)
34'
19'
(ast. M. Burgess)
E. Adams
(pen.)
89'
E. Adams
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Melbourne Victory a 53% win probability (draw 19%, Newcastle Jets 27%). The final result was Melbourne Victory 2–2 Newcastle Jets. In 1 previous meetings, Melbourne Victory have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Newcastle Jets.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
4
3
Saves
3
38%
Possession
62%
7
Corners
3
23
Tackles
26
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
15'
E. Adams
19'
ast. M. Burgess ·
E. Adams⚽
Roderick
25'
⚽C. Nduka
· ast. J. Rawlins
31'
⚽C. Nduka
· ast. F. Lino
34'
44'
M. Burgess
57'
X. Bertoncello
/
Z. Clough
K. Jelacic
/ M. Grimaldi
65'
70'
B. Gibson
/
L. Rose
81'
A. Nunes
/
C. Taylor
N. Velupillay
/ Clarismario
82'
J. Valadon
/ L. D'Arrigo
82'
89'
(pen.)
E. Adams⚽
J. Rawlins
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
53.06%
Melbourne
19.93%
X ←
27.01%
Newcastle
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
19.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.25
—
—
1.32
—
—
Lineups
40
G
2
J. Davidson
D
J. Davidson
D
21
Roderick
D
15
S. Esposito
D
18
F. Lino
1 👟
M
8
J. Valadon
82'
M
10
D. Genreau
M
D. Genreau
M
22
J. Rawlins
1 👟
M
17
Nishan Velupillay
82'
F
44
C. Nduka
2 ⚽
F
23
K. Jelacic
65'
F
K. Jelacic
65'
F
Bench
11
Clarismario Rodrigues
8'
F
Clarismario Rodrigues
8'
F
27
L. D'Arrigo
8'
M
14
M. Grimaldi
25'
F
9
N. Vergos
F
N. Vergos
F
1
G
23
D. Wilmering
D
D. Wilmering
D
33
M. Natta
D
17
K. Grozos
D
22
D
8
L. Bayliss
M
L. Bayliss
M
14
M. Burgess
1 👟
M
10
Z. Clough
57'
M
13
C. Taylor
81'
F
C. Taylor
81'
F
9
L. Rose
70'
F
L. Rose
70'
F
7
E. Adams
2 ⚽
F
E. Adams
2 ⚽
F
Bench
11
B. Gibson
20'
F
18
K. Mizunuma
M
43
X. Bertoncello
33'
F
Best on the pitch
E. Adams
F · Newcastle
8.50
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 34 pass
J. Davidson
D · Melbourne
8.30
· 34 pass
C. Nduka
F · Melbourne
7.70
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
K. Grozos
D · Newcastle
7.60
· 62 pass
F. Lino
M · Melbourne
7.30
1 👟
· 27 pass
Nishan Velupillay
F · Melbourne
7.30
3 shots
· 28 pass
Melbourne Victory — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| J. Davidson | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| Roderick | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Esposito | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Lino | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Valadon | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Genreau | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 31% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Rawlins | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Nishan Velupillay | F | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Nduka | F | 90 | 7.70 | 2 | — | 3 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Jelacic | F | 65 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Clarismario Rodrigues | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. D'Arrigo | M | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Grimaldi | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
Newcastle Jets — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| D. Wilmering | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Natta | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 82 | 72% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Grozos | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 62 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 54% | 2 | — | — | |
| L. Bayliss | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Burgess | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 93 | 83% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Z. Clough | M | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Taylor | F | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Rose | F | 70 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Adams | F | 90 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 2 | 34 | 27% | 4 | 1 | — |
| B. Gibson | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| X. Bertoncello | F | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets?
The final score was Melbourne Victory 2–2 Newcastle Jets.
What did the model predict before Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Melbourne Victory win, 19% to a draw, and 27% to an Newcastle Jets win.