Friendlies Internazionali
· Friendly International
April 01, 2026 03:00
J. Sanchez
19'
46'
(ast. Y. Tielemans)
D. Lukebakio
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Belgium a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Mexico 31%). The final result was Mexico 1–1 Belgium.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
2
20
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Julián Quiñones
11'
⚽J. Sanchez
19'
39'
Timothy Castagne
46'
ast. Y. Tielemans ·
D. Lukebakio⚽
63'
T. Meunier
/
T. Castagne
63'
A. Onana
/
Y. Tielemans
63'
N. Raskin
/
A. Witsel
63'
C. De Ketelaere
/
L. Openda
63'
J. Doku
/
M. Godts
Jorge Sánchez
64'
68'
Maxim De Cuyper
R. Jimenez
/ A. Gonzalez
68'
J. Sanchez
/ I. Reyes
69'
A. Fidalgo
/ O. Vargas
69'
O. Pineda
/ R. Alvarado
69'
J. Quinones
/ A. Vega
69'
72'
Z. Debast
/
K. De Winter
72'
J. Seys
/
K. De Bruyne
72'
A. Theate
/
N. Ngoy
72'
A. Saelemaekers
/
M. De Cuyper
72'
L. Stassin
/
D. Lukebakio
75'
Arthur Theate
B. Gutierrez
/ E. Sanchez
84'
Pre-match prediction
31.66%
Mexico
31.81%
X ←
36.54%
Belgium
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.81%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.30
—
—
2.65
—
—
Lineups
1
G
23
J. Gallardo
D
J. Gallardo
D
5
D
3
C. Montes
D
C. Montes
D
2
J. Sánchez
1 ⚽
69'
D
J. Sánchez
1 ⚽
69'
D
6
É. Lira
M
É. Lira
M
16
Julián Quiñones
69'
M
Julián Quiñones
69'
M
19
Álvaro Fidalgo
69'
M
Álvaro Fidalgo
69'
M
24
B. Gutiérrez
84'
M
B. Gutiérrez
84'
M
17
Orbelín Pineda
69'
M
Orbelín Pineda
69'
M
9
R. Jimenez
68'
F
Bench
26
A. González
22'
F
A. González
22'
F
10
A. Vega
21'
F
8
Carlos Rodríguez
M
Carlos Rodríguez
M
20
D. Garcia
M
21
E. López
D
E. López
D
14
É. Sánchez
11'
M
É. Sánchez
11'
M
7
G. Berterame
F
G. Berterame
F
11
G. Martinez
F
15
I. Reyes
21'
D
27
Jesús Angulo
D
Jesús Angulo
D
18
Obed Vargas
21'
M
Obed Vargas
21'
M
25
R. Alvarado
21'
F
13
G
5
Maxim De Cuyper
72'
D
20
N. Ngoy
72'
D
N. Ngoy
72'
D
16
Koni De Winter
72'
D
Koni De Winter
72'
D
21
T. Castagne
63'
D
6
Axel Witsel
63'
M
Axel Witsel
63'
M
8
Y. Tielemans
1 👟
63'
M
Y. Tielemans
1 👟
63'
M
26
M. Godts
63'
M
M. Godts
63'
M
7
K. De Bruyne
72'
M
K. De Bruyne
72'
M
14
D. Lukebakio
1 ⚽
72'
M
D. Lukebakio
1 ⚽
72'
M
9
Loïs Openda
63'
F
Loïs Openda
63'
F
Bench
24
A. Onana
27'
M
3
Arthur Theate
18'
D
22
A. Saelemaekers
18'
F
A. Saelemaekers
18'
F
4
Brandon Mechele
D
Brandon Mechele
D
17
C. De Ketelaere
27'
F
C. De Ketelaere
27'
F
11
Jérémy Doku
27'
F
Jérémy Doku
27'
F
18
Joaquin Seys
18'
D
Joaquin Seys
18'
D
19
L. Stassin
18'
F
L. Stassin
18'
F
25
Nathan De Cat
M
Nathan De Cat
M
23
N. Raskin
27'
M
N. Raskin
27'
M
15
Thomas Meunier
27'
D
Thomas Meunier
27'
D
2
Z. Debast
18'
D
Best on the pitch
Y. Tielemans
M · Belgium
7.70
1 👟
· 40 pass
J. Sánchez
D · Mexico
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 36 pass
D. Lukebakio
M · Belgium
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
Orbelín Pineda
M · Mexico
7.20
· 25 pass
B. Gutiérrez
M · Mexico
7.20
· 26 pass
D · Mexico
7.00
· 70 pass
Mexico — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| J. Gallardo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 70 | 62% | 2 | — | — | |
| C. Montes | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 67 | 60% | — | — | — |
| J. Sánchez | D | 69 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 36 | 32% | 4 | 1 | — |
| É. Lira | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Julián Quiñones | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 37 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Álvaro Fidalgo | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 41% | — | — | — |
| B. Gutiérrez | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Orbelín Pineda | M | 69 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Jimenez | F | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| A. González | F | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| A. Vega | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| É. Sánchez | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Reyes | D | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Obed Vargas | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| R. Alvarado | F | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 4 | — | — |
Belgium — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| Maxim De Cuyper | D | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| N. Ngoy | D | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Koni De Winter | D | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 53 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Castagne | D | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | — | 1 | — |
| Axel Witsel | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Y. Tielemans | M | 63 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 40 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Godts | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| K. De Bruyne | M | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Lukebakio | M | 72 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Loïs Openda | F | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| A. Onana | M | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Theate | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Saelemaekers | F | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| C. De Ketelaere | F | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Jérémy Doku | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Joaquin Seys | D | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| L. Stassin | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Raskin | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Thomas Meunier | D | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Z. Debast | D | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mexico vs Belgium?
The final score was Mexico 1–1 Belgium.
What did the model predict before Mexico vs Belgium?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Mexico win, 31% to a draw, and 36% to an Belgium win.