← 1. Division

Middelfart - HB Koge

1. Division May 16, 2026 14:00
Middelfart
#6 · 15 pts
vs
HB Koge
#3 · 37 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
11.45%
Win
Middelfart
12.6%
Draw
75.95%
Win
HB Koge
0.76
Expected xG
3.0
Model prediction
HB Koge
75.95%
Probability
60.0%
1X2 accuracy · 10 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives HB Koge a 75% win probability, against 12% for a draw and 11% for Middelfart. Expected goals are 0.8 for Middelfart and 3.0 for HB Koge (total 3.8), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–2 at 10.4% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Middelfart have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for HB Koge.

Score Matrix
↕ Middelfart HB Koge →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3% 7.0% 10.4% 10.4% 7.8% 4.7%
1 1.8% 5.3% 8.0% 8.0% 6.0% 3.6%
2 0.7% 2.0% 3.0% 3.0% 2.3% 1.4%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3%
4 — 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 — — — — — —
Recent form
Middelfart Middelfart
W Aalborg 1–3
L Aarhus Fremad 0–1
L B 93 2–1
L Aarhus Fremad 5–1
L Hobro 0–6
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 15%
HB Koge HB Koge
D Aarhus Fremad 0–0
W B 93 3–2
D Aalborg 1–1
W Hobro 1–2
W B 93 1–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 24%
Playing profile
Middelfart Middelfart
Attack
23
Defence
41
Form
29
HB Koge HB Koge
Attack
46
Defence
76
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Middelfart
1
Draw
1
HB Koge
L 10 Apr 2026 1. Division 0–2
W 29 Nov 2025 1. Division 2–1
D 16 Aug 2025 1. Division 2–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Lyngby Lyngby 29 57
1 Lyngby Lyngby 22 42
1 Aalborg Aalborg 29 42
2 AC Horsens AC Horsens 29 47
2 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 30 40
2 Hvidovre Hvidovre 22 39
3 Hillerød Hillerød 22 37
3 Hillerød Hillerød 29 46
3 HB Koge HB Koge 29 37
4 Hvidovre Hvidovre 29 45
4 Esbjerg Esbjerg 22 37
4 Hobro Hobro 30 36
5 B 93 B 93 29 32
5 Esbjerg Esbjerg 29 45
5 Kolding IF Kolding IF 22 33
6 AC Horsens AC Horsens 22 30
6 Middelfart Middelfart 29 15
6 Kolding IF Kolding IF 29 35
7 Aalborg Aalborg 22 28
8 B 93 B 93 22 28
9 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 22 27
10 Hobro Hobro 22 25
11 HB Koge HB Koge 22 20
12 Middelfart Middelfart 22 12
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Middelfart vs HB Koge?
The model gives Middelfart a 11% win probability, 12% for a draw, and 75% for an HB Koge win.
How many goals are expected in Middelfart vs HB Koge?
Expected goals: Middelfart 0.8, HB Koge 3.0 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Middelfart vs HB Koge?
0–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.4%.