Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 2
April 16, 2026 04:00
D. Quintero
(ast. J. Angulo)
84'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millonarios a 52% win probability (draw 29%, Boston River 17%). The final result was Millonarios 1–0 Boston River. In 1 previous meetings, Millonarios have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Boston River.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
0
0.98
Actual xG
0.47
0
Saves
6
55%
Possession
45%
11
Corners
3
13
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
43'
F. Bonfiglio
R. Contreras
/ R. Falcao
46'
R. Falcao
47'
57'
F. Perez
/
G. Ramirez
57'
A. Amado
/
A. Lima
A. F. Moreno Paz
60'
63'
A. Gonzalez
/
F. Bonfiglio
63'
F. Barrios
/
F. Dafonte
M. Garcia
/ S. Viveros
65'
D. Silva
/ D. Quintero
65'
C. Sarabia
/ J. Angulo
74'
D. Banguero
/ S. Vega
76'
S. Valencia
/ B. D. Castro Espinosa
81'
83'
J. Gonzalez
⚽D. Quintero
· ast. J. Angulo
84'
90'
M. Hornos
/
G. Reyna
Pre-match prediction
52.9%
Millonarios ←
29.61%
X
17.48%
Boston
we assigned to the actual result (Millonarios)
52.9%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.37
0.98
-0.39
0.55
0.47
-0.08
Millonarios dominated by xG (0.98 vs 0.47).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
Diego Novoa
G
2
Carlos Sarabia
74'
D
29
A. F. Moreno Paz
D
4
Edgar Elizalde
D
20
D. Banguero
76'
D
22
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
81'
D
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
81'
D
19
M. Garcia
65'
M
18
R. Ureña
M
R. Ureña
M
14
David Macalister Silva
65'
M
23
L. Castro
F
L. Castro
F
27
R. Contreras
45'
F
R. Contreras
45'
F
Bench
26
A. Llinas
D
11
B. Castro
9'
F
B. Castro
9'
F
7
D. Quintero
1 ⚽
25'
M
1
G. De Amores
G
3
M. Samuel
D
9
R. Falcao
45'
F
17
D
2
D
12
Juan Ignacio González
G
3
Marco Mancebo
D
15
Lautaro Vazquez
D
99
G. Añasgo
89'
M
G. Añasgo
89'
M
29
Andy López
57'
M
14
Federico Dafonte
63'
M
11
Gastón Ramírez
57'
M
32
Yair González
M
8
Francisco Bonfiglio
63'
F
Bench
25
A. Aguirre
D
10
A. Amado
33'
M
9
Alexander González
27'
F
21
F. Perez
33'
M
5
Francisco Barrios
27'
M
13
Ignacio Fernandez
D
24
Jairo O'Neil
D
31
Juan Acosta
D
20
Marcelo Hornos
1'
M
30
Martín González
D
Best on the pitch
D. Quintero
M · Millonarios
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Juan Ignacio González
G · Boston
8.30
· 39 pass
R. Ureña
M · Millonarios
7.60
· 52 pass
B. Castro
F · Millonarios
7.50
2 shots
· 3 pass
D. Banguero
D · Millonarios
7.50
1 shots
· 43 pass
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
D · Millonarios
7.50
1 shots
· 51 pass
Millonarios — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Novoa | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Sarabia | D | 74 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| A. F. Moreno Paz | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 36% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Edgar Elizalde | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Banguero | D | 76 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastián Valencia Isaza | D | 81 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Garcia | M | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ureña | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 52 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| David Macalister Silva | M | 65 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Castro | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| R. Contreras | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| B. Castro | F | 9 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| D. Quintero | M | 25 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Falcao | F | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
Boston River — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 2 | — | — | |
| Juan Ignacio González | G | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Marco Mancebo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Lautaro Vazquez | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 6 | — | — |
| G. Añasgo | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Andy López | M | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Federico Dafonte | M | 63 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Gastón Ramírez | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Yair González | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Francisco Bonfiglio | F | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Amado | M | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Alexander González | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| F. Perez | M | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Barrios | M | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Marcelo Hornos | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Millonarios vs Boston River?
The final score was Millonarios 1–0 Boston River.
What did the model predict before Millonarios vs Boston River?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Millonarios win, 29% to a draw, and 17% to an Boston River win.