Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 3
April 29, 2026 02:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millonarios a 43% win probability (draw 31%, Sao Paulo 24%). The final result was Millonarios 0–0 Sao Paulo.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
1
1.03
Actual xG
0.40
1
Saves
4
59%
Possession
41%
10
Corners
5
9
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
24'
Andre Silva
33'
N. Bosshardt
45'+2
Carlos Coronel
56'
D. Bobadilla
/
Andre Silva
56'
Ferreira
/
Djhordney
62'
Wendell
/
N. Bosshardt
D. Silva
/ D. Quintero
66'
70'
Lucca Marques
/
Cauly
70'
Felipe Negrucci
/
Luan Silva
S. Valencia
/ D. Banguero
77'
S. Viveros
/ B. D. Castro Espinosa
77'
L. Castro
/ J. Angulo
86'
M. Garcia
/ S. Vega
86'
Pre-match prediction
43.97%
Millonarios
31.86%
X ←
24.17%
Sao
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
1.03
-0.21
0.81
0.40
-0.41
Millonarios dominated by xG (1.03 vs 0.40).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
Diego Novoa
G
22
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
77'
D
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
77'
D
17
J. Arias
D
26
A. Llinas
D
2
Carlos Sarabia
D
14
David Macalister Silva
66'
M
18
R. Ureña
M
R. Ureña
M
19
M. Garcia
86'
M
30
77'
M
23
L. Castro
86'
F
L. Castro
86'
F
27
R. Contreras
F
R. Contreras
F
Bench
29
A. F. Moreno Paz
D
11
B. Castro
13'
F
B. Castro
13'
F
20
D. Banguero
13'
D
7
D. Quintero
24'
M
4
Edgar Elizalde
D
1
G. De Amores
G
31
Carlos Coronel
G
Carlos Coronel
G
35
Sabino
D
Sabino
D
4
D
28
A. Franco
D
56
N. Bosshardt
62'
M
33
Luan Santos
70'
M
Luan Santos
70'
M
48
Djhordney Ferreira
56'
M
Djhordney Ferreira
56'
M
21
Cédric Soares
M
Cédric Soares
M
80
Cauly
70'
F
Cauly
70'
F
17
André Silva
56'
F
André Silva
56'
F
14
Gonzalo Tapia
F
Gonzalo Tapia
F
Bench
16
Damián Bobadilla
34'
M
Damián Bobadilla
34'
M
11
Ferreirinha
34'
F
Ferreirinha
34'
F
45
Lucca
20'
F
Lucca
20'
F
23
Rafael
G
Rafael
G
34
Tetê
F
18
Wendell
28'
D
Wendell
28'
D
Best on the pitch
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
D · Millonarios
7.70
3 shots
· 42 pass
R. Contreras
F · Millonarios
7.70
3 shots
· 14 pass
R. Ureña
M · Millonarios
7.60
1 shots
· 67 pass
J. Arias
D · Millonarios
7.50
1 shots
· 47 pass
Cauly
F · Sao
7.30
· 25 pass
Sabino
D · Sao
7.30
2 shots
· 19 pass
Millonarios — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Novoa | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Valencia Isaza | D | 77 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 42 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Arias | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Llinas | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Sarabia | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| David Macalister Silva | M | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | — | — | — |
| R. Ureña | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Garcia | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — | |
| L. Castro | F | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| R. Contreras | F | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| B. Castro | F | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Banguero | D | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Quintero | M | 24 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Sao Paulo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Coronel | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Sabino | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| A. Franco | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| N. Bosshardt | M | 62 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luan Santos | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Djhordney Ferreira | M | 56 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Cédric Soares | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Cauly | F | 70 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| André Silva | F | 56 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Gonzalo Tapia | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Damián Bobadilla | M | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Ferreirinha | F | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucca | F | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Wendell | D | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Millonarios vs Sao Paulo?
The final score was Millonarios 0–0 Sao Paulo.
What did the model predict before Millonarios vs Sao Paulo?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Millonarios win, 31% to a draw, and 24% to an Sao Paulo win.