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MSV Duisburg - FC Viktoria Köln

3. Liga May 16, 2026 13:30
MSV Duisburg
#3 · 67 pts
vs
FC Viktoria Köln
#11 · 50 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 12.4°C 💨 14 km/h 🌧️ 25% · Duisburg
⚡ Pre-match analysis
63.85%
Win
MSV Duisburg
22.82%
Draw
13.32%
Win
FC Viktoria Köln
2.18
Expected xG
0.88
Model prediction
MSV Duisburg
63.85%
Probability
55.2%
1X2 accuracy · 29 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives MSV Duisburg a 63% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 13% for FC Viktoria Köln. Expected goals are 2.2 for MSV Duisburg and 0.9 for FC Viktoria Köln (total 3.1), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 11.2% probability. In 1 previous meetings, MSV Duisburg have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC Viktoria Köln.

Score Matrix
↕ MSV Duisburg FC Viktoria Köln →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 10.3% 9.0% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% —
2 11.2% 9.8% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% —
3 8.1% 7.1% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% —
4 4.4% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 1.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% — —
Recent form
MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg
D Erzgebirge Aue 0–0
W Energie Cottbus 2–1
L Alemannia Aachen 3–1
W Hoffenheim II 3–1
W Waldhof Mannheim 1–4
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 24%
FC Viktoria Köln FC Viktoria Köln
L Alemannia Aachen 0–3
W SSV Ulm 1846 0–2
L Energie Cottbus 0–2
L Verl 2–0
W SV Wehen 2–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 24%
Playing profile
MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg
Attack
40
Defence
75
Form
65
FC Viktoria Köln FC Viktoria Köln
Attack
30
Defence
59
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
MSV Duisburg
1
Draw
0
FC Viktoria Köln
D 21 Dec 2025 3. Liga 0–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 37 77
2 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 37 69
3 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 37 67
4 Rot-Weiß Essen Rot-Weiß Essen 37 67
5 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 37 64
6 Verl Verl 37 61
7 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 37 61
8 TSV 1860 München TSV 1860 München 37 56
9 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 37 52
10 SV Wehen SV Wehen 37 50
11 FC Viktoria Köln FC Viktoria Köln 37 50
12 SSV Jahn Regensburg SSV Jahn Regensburg 37 49
13 FC Ingolstadt 04 FC Ingolstadt 04 37 46
14 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 37 46
15 FC Saarbrücken FC Saarbrücken 37 44
16 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 37 43
17 Havelse Havelse 37 35
18 SSV Ulm 1846 SSV Ulm 1846 37 33
19 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 37 31
20 FC Schweinfurt 05 FC Schweinfurt 05 37 21
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win MSV Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Köln?
The model gives MSV Duisburg a 63% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 13% for an FC Viktoria Köln win.
How many goals are expected in MSV Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Köln?
Expected goals: MSV Duisburg 2.2, FC Viktoria Köln 0.9 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in MSV Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Köln?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.2%.