Nacional AM - Manauara
Brasileirão Série D
May 16, 2026 22:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.83%
Win
Nacional AM
30.53%
Draw
30.64%
Win
Manauara
1.36
0.94
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Nacional AM a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Manauara. Expected goals are 1.4 for Nacional AM and 0.9 for Manauara (total 2.3), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.7% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Nacional AM have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Manauara.
Score Matrix
↕ Nacional AM
Manauara →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.1% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 9.3% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Nacional AM
Attack
41
Defence
75
Form
66
Manauara
Attack
38
Defence
83
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
L
25 Apr 2026
2–4
League Table
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Nacional AM vs Manauara?
The model gives Nacional AM a 38% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 30% for an Manauara win.
How many goals are expected in Nacional AM vs Manauara?
Expected goals: Nacional AM 1.4, Manauara 0.9 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Nacional AM vs Manauara?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.7%.