← Premier League

Nairobi United - Posta Rangers FC

Premier League May 16, 2026 13:00
Nairobi United
#4 · 48 pts
vs
Posta Rangers FC
#13 · 36 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 32.7°C 💨 12 km/h · Novo Mesto
⚡ Pre-match analysis
56.59%
Win
Nairobi United
22.78%
Draw
20.64%
Win
Posta Rangers FC
1.86
Expected xG
1.03
Model prediction
Nairobi United
56.59%
Probability

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Nairobi United a 56% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Posta Rangers FC. Expected goals are 1.9 for Nairobi United and 1.0 for Posta Rangers FC (total 2.9), with a 63% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.7% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Nairobi United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Posta Rangers FC.

Score Matrix
↕ Nairobi United Posta Rangers FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6% 5.7% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.4% 10.7% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.9% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.0% 6.1% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.8% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 1.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% — —
Recent form
Nairobi United Nairobi United
L Kariobangi Sharks 2–0
W Tusker 1–0
W Mathare United 1–2
W Murang'a SEAL 2–4
D Homeboyz 2–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 29%
Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC
W Sofapaka 3–0
D Bandari 1–1
D Bidco United 1–1
L APS Bomet 0–3
L Mara Sugar 1–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 14%
Playing profile
Nairobi United Nairobi United
Attack
40
Defence
74
Form
59
Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC
Attack
29
Defence
72
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Nairobi United
0
Draw
1
Posta Rangers FC
L 8 Dec 2025 Premier League 0–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 GOR Mahia GOR Mahia 31 65
2 AFC Leopards AFC Leopards 31 61
3 Police Police 31 52
4 Nairobi United Nairobi United 31 48
5 Shabana Shabana 31 48
6 Homeboyz Homeboyz 31 47
7 Tusker Tusker 31 44
8 Mara Sugar Mara Sugar 31 43
9 KCB KCB 31 42
10 Bandari Bandari 31 41
11 Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL 31 41
12 APS Bomet APS Bomet 31 37
13 Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC 31 36
14 Mathare United Mathare United 31 35
15 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 31 33
16 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 31 32
17 Bidco United Bidco United 31 24
18 Sofapaka Sofapaka 31 18
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Nairobi United vs Posta Rangers FC?
The model gives Nairobi United a 56% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 20% for an Posta Rangers FC win.
How many goals are expected in Nairobi United vs Posta Rangers FC?
Expected goals: Nairobi United 1.9, Posta Rangers FC 1.0 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 63%.
What is the most likely score in Nairobi United vs Posta Rangers FC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.7%.