Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 5
April 19, 2026 01:00
64'
Pedro Vitor
81'
(ast. Helder Maciel)
Foguinho
88'
(ast. Echapora)
Pablo Dyego
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nautico Recife a 35% win probability (draw 32%, São Bernardo 31%). The final result was Nautico Recife 0–3 São Bernardo.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
5
1.87
Actual xG
1.33
2
Saves
3
60%
Possession
40%
10
Corners
2
7
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
6
Match Events
1'
Rodrigo Ferreira
29'
Alex Alves
36'
Dudu Miraíma
Luiz Felipe
45'+6
45'+6
Foguinho
Juninho
/ Felipe Saraiva
46'
46'
Junior Oliveira
/
Alex Alves
46'
Echapora
/
Pedrinho
Luiz Felipe
/ Samuel Felix
62'
64'
Pedro Vitor⚽
66'
69'
Pablo Dyego
/
Daniel Amorim
69'
Jemerson
/
Dudu Miraima
Vinicius
/ Victor Andrade
73'
Derek
/ Paulo Sergio
73'
Wenderson
/ Vitinho
73'
77'
Júnior Oliveira
77'
Helder Maciel
81'
ast. Helder Maciel ·
Foguinho⚽
83'
87'
Hugo Sanches
/
Pedro Vitor
88'
ast. Echapora ·
Pablo Dyego⚽
Samuel
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
35.39%
Nautico
32.63%
X
31.98%
São ←
we assigned to the actual result (São Bernardo)
31.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.25
1.87
+0.62
1.03
1.33
+0.3
Nautico Recife dominated by xG (1.87 vs 1.33).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
6
D
23
D
25
Mateus Silva
D
14
Matheus Ribeiro
D
Matheus Ribeiro
D
27
Luiz Felipe
62'
M
8
Wenderson
73'
M
Wenderson
73'
M
7
Vinícius
73'
M
Vinícius
73'
M
10
Dodô
M
Dodô
M
77
Juninho
45'
M
72
Derek Freitas
73'
F
Derek Freitas
73'
F
Bench
98
Felipe Saraiva
53'
F
Felipe Saraiva
53'
F
9
Paulo Sergio
25'
F
41
Samuel
36'
M
Samuel
36'
M
11
Victor Andrade
25'
F
Victor Andrade
25'
F
1
Alex Alves
45'
G
Alex Alves
45'
G
6
Pará
D
Pará
D
97
D
3
Helder Maciel
1 👟
D
Helder Maciel
1 👟
D
2
Rodrigo Ferreira
D
Rodrigo Ferreira
D
17
Romisson
M
Romisson
M
8
Foguinho
1 ⚽
M
Foguinho
1 ⚽
M
26
Dudu Miraíma
69'
M
Dudu Miraíma
69'
M
29
Pedrinho
45'
F
Pedrinho
45'
F
11
Pedro Vitor
1 ⚽
87'
F
89
Daniel Amorim
69'
F
Daniel Amorim
69'
F
Bench
27
Echaporã
1 👟
53'
F
Echaporã
1 👟
53'
F
10
Fabrício Daniel
F
Fabrício Daniel
F
12
Júnior Oliveira
53'
G
22
Pablo Dyego
1 ⚽
29'
F
Pablo Dyego
1 ⚽
29'
F
Best on the pitch
Pedro Vitor
F · São
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 15 pass
Helder Maciel
D · São
7.60
1 👟
1 shots
· 34 pass
Romisson
M · São
7.30
· 29 pass
Felipe Saraiva
F · Nautico
7.20
· 16 pass
Foguinho
M · São
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
D · São
7.20
· 34 pass
Nautico Recife — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| D | 98 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | — | — | — | |
| D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 39% | — | — | — | |
| Mateus Silva | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Matheus Ribeiro | D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Luiz Felipe | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| Wenderson | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Vinícius | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Dodô | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Juninho | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Derek Freitas | F | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | 5 | 13 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Felipe Saraiva | F | 53 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Sergio | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Samuel | M | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Victor Andrade | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
São Bernardo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Alves | G | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Pará | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — | |
| Helder Maciel | D | 98 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 34 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Ferreira | D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Romisson | M | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Foguinho | M | 98 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dudu Miraíma | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pedrinho | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Vitor | F | 87 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 15 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Amorim | F | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Echaporã | F | 53 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Júnior Oliveira | G | 53 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Pablo Dyego | F | 29 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Nautico Recife vs São Bernardo?
The final score was Nautico Recife 0–3 São Bernardo.
What did the model predict before Nautico Recife vs São Bernardo?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Nautico Recife win, 32% to a draw, and 31% to an São Bernardo win.