Liga MX
· Clausura - 15
April 19, 2026 01:00
T. Badaloni
(ast. D. Leyva)
34'
90'+6
(ast. R. Aguirre)
A. Correa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tigres UANL a 37% win probability (draw 29%, Necaxa 33%). The final result was Necaxa 1–1 Tigres UANL. In 1 previous meetings, Necaxa have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Tigres UANL.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
2
Shots on target
5
0.71
Actual xG
1.20
4
Saves
1
27%
Possession
73%
0
Corners
12
16
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽T. Badaloni
· ast. D. Leyva
34'
D. Leyva
43'
46'
A. Correa
/
Joaquim
A. E. Almendra
/ K. Rosero
55'
56'
D. Lainez
/
M. Flores
67'
R. Aguirre
/
C. Araujo
67'
D. A. Sanchez Guevara
/
F. Reyes
J. Ruiz
/ F. Rossano
76'
76'
J. Angulo
/
O. Herrera
R. Monreal
82'
82'
R. Aguirre
R. Monreal
/ R. Cortez
84'
F. Mendez
/ E. Lara
84'
90'+6
ast. R. Aguirre ·
A. Correa⚽
Pre-match prediction
33.24%
Necaxa
29.57%
X ←
37.19%
Tigres
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.10
0.71
-0.39
1.15
1.20
+0.05
Tigres UANL dominated by xG (1.20 vs 0.71).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
G
16
C. Calderon
D
20
F. Mendez
84'
D
4
A. Pena
D
33
R. Martinez
D
35
J. Ruiz
76'
M
6
D. Leyva
1 👟
M
5
K. Gutierrez
M
30
R. Monreal
84'
M
9
T. Badaloni
1 ⚽
F
10
A. E. Almendra
55'
F
Bench
26
E. Lara
16'
D
24
F. Rossano
14'
D
188
I. Tello
F
17
R. Cortez
16'
M
1
G
2
Diego Reyes
67'
D
Diego Reyes
67'
D
23
Rômulo Zwarg
D
Rômulo Zwarg
D
28
Joaquim
45'
D
14
D
5
César Araújo
67'
M
César Araújo
67'
M
8
F. Gorriaran
M
20
Marcelo Flores
56'
M
Marcelo Flores
56'
M
11
Juan Brunetta
M
Juan Brunetta
M
77
O. Herrera
76'
M
10
André-Pierre Gignac
F
André-Pierre Gignac
F
Bench
7
Ángel Correa
1 ⚽
45'
F
Ángel Correa
1 ⚽
45'
F
16
Diego Lainez
34'
M
Diego Lainez
34'
M
30
Diego Sánchez
23'
F
Diego Sánchez
23'
F
27
Jesús Angulo
14'
D
Jesús Angulo
14'
D
33
Rafael Guerrero
D
Rafael Guerrero
D
17
R. Aguirre
1 👟
23'
F
R. Aguirre
1 👟
23'
F
204
Simeone
M
Best on the pitch
F. Gorriaran
M · Tigres
7.90
· 102 pass
Diego Lainez
M · Tigres
7.50
2 shots
· 16 pass
T. Badaloni
F · Necaxa
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 23 pass
D. Leyva
M · Necaxa
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 33 pass
F. Mendez
D · Necaxa
7.20
· 19 pass
K. Gutierrez
M · Necaxa
7.20
· 38 pass
Necaxa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 6% | — | — | — | |
| C. Calderon | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Mendez | D | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Pena | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| R. Martinez | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Ruiz | M | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Leyva | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 33 | 28% | 2 | 1 | — |
| K. Gutierrez | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Monreal | M | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 3 | 1 | — |
| T. Badaloni | F | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. E. Almendra | F | 55 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| E. Lara | D | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| F. Rossano | D | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| R. Cortez | M | 16 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Tigres UANL — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Diego Reyes | D | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Rômulo Zwarg | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 102 | 96% | — | — | — |
| Joaquim | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 31% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 66% | 2 | — | — | |
| César Araújo | M | 67 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 66 | 63% | — | — | — |
| F. Gorriaran | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 102 | 89% | 2 | — | — |
| Marcelo Flores | M | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Juan Brunetta | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Herrera | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| André-Pierre Gignac | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Ángel Correa | F | 45 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Lainez | M | 34 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Diego Sánchez | F | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Angulo | D | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| R. Aguirre | F | 23 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Necaxa vs Tigres UANL?
The final score was Necaxa 1–1 Tigres UANL.
What did the model predict before Necaxa vs Tigres UANL?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Necaxa win, 29% to a draw, and 37% to an Tigres UANL win.