USL Championship
· Group Stage
May 10, 2026 03:00
N. Reid-Stephen
(ast. Z. Bailey)
32'
O. Jabang
(ast. D. Harris)
53'
Z. Bailey
(ast. D. Harris)
73'
40'
(ast. C. Pinzon)
O. Anderson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New Mexico United a 44% win probability (draw 27%, Las Vegas Lights 28%). The final result was New Mexico United 3–1 Las Vegas Lights.
Match statistics
Match Events
31'
C. Locker
⚽N. Reid-Stephen
· ast. Z. Bailey
32'
40'
ast. C. Pinzon ·
O. Anderson⚽
K. Keller
/ C. Gloster
46'
⚽O. Jabang
· ast. D. Harris
53'
61'
M. Arteaga
/
A. Okyere
V. Noel
/ G. Zelalem
67'
G. Hurst
/ J. Rennicks
67'
Z. Bailey
68'
⚽Z. Bailey
· ast. D. Harris
73'
J. LaCava
/ W. Seymore
75'
D. Harris
/ C. Wilkerson
75'
77'
B. Mines
/
C. Pinzon
77'
N. Pickering
/
O. Anderson
77'
G. Probo
79'
M. Arteaga
82'
B. Ofeimu
/
B. Pope
82'
J. Forbes
/
T. Antonoglou
G. Zelalem
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
44.2%
New ←
27.3%
X
28.49%
Las
we assigned to the actual result (New Mexico United)
44.2%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.88
—
—
1.78
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights?
The final score was New Mexico United 3–1 Las Vegas Lights.
What did the model predict before New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights?
The model assigned 44% probability to a New Mexico United win, 27% to a draw, and 28% to an Las Vegas Lights win.