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MLS · Regular Season - 6 April 05, 2026 03:30
New York City FC
#5 · 18 pts
1 – 1
Final score
St. Louis City
#14 · 12 pts
H. Wolf (ast. M. Moralez) 50'
90' (ast. L. MacNaughton) B. McSorley

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York City FC a 45% win probability (draw 28%, St. Louis City 26%). The final result was New York City FC 1–1 St. Louis City.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
3
1.18
Actual xG
1.06
2
Saves
6
59%
Possession
41%
2
Corners
3
10
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
43'
Daniel Edelman
⚽H. Wolf · ast. M. Moralez
50'
56'
Jaziel Orozco
Hannes Wolf
58'
61'
Dante Polvara
65'
M. Perez / C. Durkin ↕
71'
C. Teuchert / S. Cordova ↕
71'
L. MacNaughton / D. Edelman ↕
↕ T. Gray / Raul Gustavo
75'
↕ K. Parks / J. Shore
75'
80'
M. Joyner / Rafael Santos ↕
80'
B. McSorley / S. Becher ↕
↕ A. Ojeda / Talles Magno
87'
↕ A. O'Neill / N. Cavallo
88'
90'
ast. L. MacNaughton · B. McSorley⚽
Pre-match prediction
45.13%
New
28.03%
X ←
26.85%
St.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.03% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
2.33
1.18
-1.15
St.
0.82
1.06
+0.24
xG dominance was balanced (1.18 – 1.06). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
New York City FC New York City FC 4-2-3-1
49
G 7.20
22
D 6.70
5 Kai Trewin Kai Trewin D 6.90
13 Thiago Martins Thiago Martins D 7.50
24 Tayvon Gray Tayvon Gray 75' D 7.20
55 Keaton Parks Keaton Parks 75' M 6.60
21
A. O'Neill 88' M 7.00
17 Hannes Wolf Hannes Wolf 1 ⚽ M 7.30
10 Maxi Moralez Maxi Moralez 1 👟 M 6.60
26 Agustin Ojeda Agustin Ojeda 87' M 7.30
7 Nicolás Fernández Nicolás Fernández F 7.30
Bench
87 Arnau Farnos Arnau Farnos F
2 Nico Cavallo Nico Cavallo 11' D 6.30
34 Raul Gustavo Raul Gustavo 24' D 6.70
99 Seymour Garfield-Reid Seymour Garfield-Reid F
19 Strahinja Tanasijević Strahinja Tanasijević D
11
Talles Magno 12' F 6.50
St. Louis City St. Louis City 3-4-3
1
G 7.20
21 Dante Polvara Dante Polvara D 7.30
32 Timo Baumgartl Timo Baumgartl D 6.30
99 Jaziel Orozco Jaziel Orozco D 6.90
20
Rafael Santos
24 Daniel Edelman Daniel Edelman 71' M 6.30
8 Christopher Durkin Christopher Durkin 65' M 6.30
6 Conrad Wallem Conrad Wallem M 6.30
17 Marcel Hartel Marcel Hartel F 6.90
16 Sergio Córdova Sergio Córdova 71' F 6.60
11 Simon Becher Simon Becher 80' F 6.20
Bench
80 Brendan McSorley Brendan McSorley 1 ⚽ 19' F 7.50
36 Cedric Teuchert Cedric Teuchert 28' F 6.70
77 Jeong Sang-bin Jeong Sang-bin F
5 Lukas MacNaughton Lukas MacNaughton 1 👟 28' D 8.20
28 Miguel Perez Miguel Perez 34' M 6.60
59 Mykhi Joyner Mykhi Joyner 19' M 6.70
14 Tomas Totland Tomas Totland D
Best on the pitch
Lukas MacNaughton
Lukas MacNaughton
D · St.
8.20
1 👟
· 24 pass
Brendan McSorley
Brendan McSorley
F · St.
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 1 pass
Thiago Martins
Thiago Martins
D · New
7.50
· 89 pass
Hannes Wolf
Hannes Wolf
M · New
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 27 pass
Agustin Ojeda
Agustin Ojeda
M · New
7.30
1 shots · 32 pass
Nicolás Fernández
Nicolás Fernández
F · New
7.30
3 shots · 33 pass
New York City FC New York City FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 99 7.20 — — — 35 30% — — —
D 99 6.70 — — — 53 47% 2 — —
Kai Trewin D 99 6.90 — — — 93 83% — — —
Thiago Martins D 99 7.50 — — — 89 81% — — —
Tayvon Gray D 75 7.20 — — 1 60 51% 2 — —
Keaton Parks M 75 6.60 — — 1 52 48% — — —
A. O'Neill M 88 7.00 — — — 81 73% 1 — —
Hannes Wolf M 99 7.30 1 — 1 27 22% 2 1 —
Maxi Moralez M 99 6.60 — 1 2 59 49% 1 — —
Agustin Ojeda M 87 7.30 — — 1 32 29% — — —
Nicolás Fernández F 99 7.30 — — 3 33 26% 1 — —
Nico Cavallo D 11 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
Raul Gustavo D 24 6.70 — — — 9 8% 1 — —
Talles Magno F 12 6.50 — — 2 3 1% — — —
St. Louis City St. Louis City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 99 7.20 — — — 25 22% — — —
Dante Polvara D 99 7.30 — — 1 57 50% 2 1 —
Timo Baumgartl D 99 6.30 — — — 66 62% — — —
Jaziel Orozco D 99 6.90 — — — 56 48% 3 1 —
Rafael Santos — — — — — — — — — —
Daniel Edelman M 71 6.30 — — 1 40 32% — 1 —
Christopher Durkin M 65 6.30 — — — 32 30% — — —
Conrad Wallem M 99 6.30 — — — 32 27% 1 — —
Marcel Hartel F 99 6.90 — — 4 37 26% 2 — —
Sergio Córdova F 71 6.60 — — 1 9 5% 1 — —
Simon Becher F 80 6.20 — — — 26 18% 2 — —
Brendan McSorley F 19 7.50 1 — 1 1 — — — —
Cedric Teuchert F 28 6.70 — — 1 2 2% — — —
Lukas MacNaughton D 28 8.20 — 1 — 24 22% 1 — —
Miguel Perez M 34 6.60 — — — 13 12% 1 — —
Mykhi Joyner M 19 6.70 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York City FC vs St. Louis City?
The final score was New York City FC 1–1 St. Louis City.
What did the model predict before New York City FC vs St. Louis City?
The model assigned 45% probability to a New York City FC win, 28% to a draw, and 26% to an St. Louis City win.