A-League Men
· Regular Season - 24
April 11, 2026 09:00
D. Wilmering
90'+4
73'
(ast. Anselmo)
R. White
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Adelaide United a 53% win probability (draw 12%, Newcastle Jets 33%). The final result was Newcastle Jets 1–1 Adelaide United. In 1 previous meetings, Newcastle Jets have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Adelaide United.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
6
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
5
21
Tackles
25
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
W. Dobson
/ Z. Clough
37'
48'
R. White
B. Gibson
/ L. Rose
53'
63'
Anselmo
/
L. Jovanovic
63'
B. Burkitt
/
Y. Dukuly
X. Bertoncello
/ K. Mizunuma
68'
C. Taylor
/ E. Adams
68'
73'
ast. Anselmo ·
R. White⚽
77'
M. Natta
/ L. Scicluna
90'+1
90'+2
E. Alagich
⚽D. Wilmering
90'+4
90'+6
J. Muniz
/
J. Yull
K. Grozos
90'+7
90'+8
R. Kitto
Pre-match prediction
33.85%
Newcastle
12.81%
X ←
53.35%
Adelaide
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
12.81%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.27
—
—
3.33
—
—
Lineups
1
G
23
D. Wilmering
1 ⚽
D
D. Wilmering
1 ⚽
D
33
M. Natta
89'
D
17
K. Grozos
D
22
D
8
L. Bayliss
M
L. Bayliss
M
14
M. Burgess
M
13
C. Taylor
68'
M
C. Taylor
68'
M
28
W. Dobson
37'
M
43
X. Bertoncello
68'
M
11
B. Gibson
53'
F
Bench
7
E. Adams
22'
M
E. Adams
22'
M
18
K. Mizunuma
22'
M
9
L. Rose
37'
F
L. Rose
37'
F
10
Z. Clough
53'
M
22
G
7
Ryan Kitto
D
Ryan Kitto
D
4
Panagiotis Kikianis
D
Panagiotis Kikianis
D
3
Bart Vriends
D
Bart Vriends
D
14
Jay Barnett
D
Jay Barnett
D
55
Ethan Alagich
M
Ethan Alagich
M
23
Luke Duzel
M
Luke Duzel
M
44
M
12
Jonny Yull
89'
F
Jonny Yull
89'
F
9
Luka Jovanovic
63'
F
Luka Jovanovic
63'
F
19
Yaya Dukuly
63'
F
Yaya Dukuly
63'
F
Bench
87
Anselmo
1 👟
27'
M
Anselmo
1 👟
27'
M
35
Brody Burkitt
27'
F
Brody Burkitt
27'
F
10
Juan Muñiz
1'
M
Juan Muñiz
1'
M
Best on the pitch
D. Wilmering
D · Newcastle
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 40 pass
M · Adelaide
7.70
1 shots
· 30 pass
Luka Jovanovic
F · Adelaide
7.30
· 10 pass
Ethan Alagich
M · Adelaide
7.30
1 shots
· 40 pass
Bart Vriends
D · Adelaide
7.30
1 shots
· 46 pass
M. Burgess
M · Newcastle
7.30
1 shots
· 61 pass
Newcastle Jets — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | — | — | — | |
| D. Wilmering | D | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 40 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Natta | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 85 | 78% | — | — | — |
| K. Grozos | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 75 | 69% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | 2 | — | — | |
| L. Bayliss | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 49 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Burgess | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 47% | 5 | — | — |
| C. Taylor | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| W. Dobson | M | 37 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| X. Bertoncello | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Gibson | F | 53 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| E. Adams | M | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| K. Mizunuma | M | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Rose | F | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Z. Clough | M | 53 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | — | — | — |
Adelaide United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Ryan Kitto | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Panagiotis Kikianis | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Bart Vriends | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Jay Barnett | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 49% | 4 | — | — |
| Ethan Alagich | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luke Duzel | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — | |
| Jonny Yull | F | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Luka Jovanovic | F | 63 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Yaya Dukuly | F | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Anselmo | M | 27 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Brody Burkitt | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Muñiz | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United?
The final score was Newcastle Jets 1–1 Adelaide United.
What did the model predict before Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Newcastle Jets win, 12% to a draw, and 53% to an Adelaide United win.