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NK Domzale - Mura

1. SNL April 25, 2026 19:00
NK Domzale
#10 · 12 pts
vs
Mura
#8 · 28 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 24.4°C 💨 15 km/h · Domžale
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.05%
Win
NK Domzale
31.78%
Draw
24.17%
Win
Mura
1.17
Expected xG
0.78

The ForzaPitch prediction gives NK Domzale a 44% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Mura. Expected goals are 1.2 for NK Domzale and 0.8 for Mura (total 2.0), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 16.6% probability. In 2 previous meetings, NK Domzale have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Mura.

Score Matrix
↕ NK Domzale Mura →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.2% 11.1% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% —
1 16.6% 13.0% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% —
2 9.7% 7.6% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% —
3 3.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 1.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — — —
Recent form
NK Domzale NK Domzale
L Koper 2–1
W Bravo 1–0
L Celje 0–2
L Aluminij 3–1
D Mura 3–3
Mura Mura
W Primorje 0–2
L Koper 0–1
L Celje 0–2
L Aluminij 2–1
L Bravo 1–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 22%
Playing profile
NK Domzale NK Domzale
Attack
28
Defence
54
Form
36
Mura Mura
Attack
20
Defence
66
Form
34
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
NK Domzale
1
Draw
1
Mura
D 3 Nov 2025 1. SNL 3–3
L 16 Aug 2025 1. SNL 0–3
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Celje Celje 32 71
2 Koper Koper 33 64
3 Bravo Bravo 33 59
4 Maribor Maribor 31 50
5 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 31 49
6 Radomlje Radomlje 32 42
7 Aluminij Aluminij 32 35
8 Mura Mura 32 28
9 Primorje Primorje 32 21
10 NK Domzale NK Domzale 18 12
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win NK Domzale vs Mura?
The model gives NK Domzale a 44% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 24% for an Mura win.
How many goals are expected in NK Domzale vs Mura?
Expected goals: NK Domzale 1.2, Mura 0.8 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in NK Domzale vs Mura?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.6%.