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NK Lokomotiva Zagreb - HNK Hajduk Split

HNL May 16, 2026 18:15
#6 · 42 pts
vs
#2 · 64 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 30.2°C 💨 22 km/h · Novo Mesto
⚡ Pre-match analysis
23.19%
Win
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
28.58%
Draw
48.24%
Win
HNK Hajduk Split
0.7
Expected xG
1.23

The ForzaPitch prediction gives HNK Hajduk Split a 48% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 23% for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. Expected goals are 0.7 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and 1.2 for HNK Hajduk Split (total 1.9), with a 68% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 17.9% probability. In 3 previous meetings, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for HNK Hajduk Split.

Score Matrix
↕ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb HNK Hajduk Split →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.6% 17.9% 10.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3%
1 10.2% 12.5% 7.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 3.6% 4.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
5
Recent form
D NK Varazdin 1–1
L HNK Rijeka 0–3
D NK Osijek 0–0
W NK Slaven Belupo 2–1
W HNK Gorica 0–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 26%
L Dinamo Zagreb 2–0
W NK Varazdin 3–1
D HNK Rijeka 0–0
L NK Osijek 0–1
D NK Slaven Belupo 2–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 33%
Playing profile
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Attack
24
Defence
66
Form
46
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split
Attack
46
Defence
65
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 34 82
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 34 64
3 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 34 49
4 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 34 48
5 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 34 42
6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 34 42
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 34 41
8 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 34 38
9 NK Osijek NK Osijek 34 32
10 Vukovar Vukovar 34 28
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split?
The model gives NK Lokomotiva Zagreb a 23% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 48% for an HNK Hajduk Split win.
How many goals are expected in NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Expected goals: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0.7, HNK Hajduk Split 1.2 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 68%.
What is the most likely score in NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.9%.