HNL
· Regular Season - 30
April 17, 2026 22:15
11'
(ast. A. Latkovic)
I. Tavares
30'
(ast. F. Maglica)
I. Tavares
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NK Varazdin a 32% win probability (draw 36%, NK Osijek 30%). The final result was NK Osijek 0–2 NK Varazdin. In 3 previous meetings, NK Osijek have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for NK Varazdin.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
8
1.04
Actual xG
1.53
5
Saves
5
74%
Possession
26%
8
Corners
3
8
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
11'
ast. A. Latkovic ·
I. Tavares⚽
27'
Luka Mamić
30'
ast. F. Maglica ·
I. Tavares⚽
Samuel Akere
33'
A. Matkovic
/ A. Jakupovic
46'
L. Jelenic
/ T. Teklic
46'
46'
T. Duvnjak
/
L. Mamic
47'
Gregor Sikosek
53'
N. Tepsic
/
M. Vuk
60'
Tomislav Duvnjak
N. Omerovic
/ B. Barisic
61'
D. M. Mejia Moscoso
/ S. Mikolcic
61'
Ivano Kolarik
63'
67'
S. Ilinkovic
/
A. Latkovic
67'
M. Marina
/
D. Puclin
I. Kolarik
/ V. Bubanja
76'
82'
M. Barac
/
R. Puncec
85'
Ivan Canjuga
90'
Mario Mladenovski
Pre-match prediction
30.89%
NK
36.36%
X
32.75%
NK ←
we assigned to the actual result (NK Varazdin)
32.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.94
1.04
+0.1
1.04
1.53
+0.49
NK Varazdin dominated by xG (1.53 vs 1.04).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
31
G
26
Luka Jelenić
45'
D
Luka Jelenić
45'
D
5
Jon Mersinaj
D
Jon Mersinaj
D
49
Ivano Kolarik
76'
D
Ivano Kolarik
76'
D
38
David Čolina
M
David Čolina
M
16
Oleksandr Petrusenko
M
Oleksandr Petrusenko
M
6
D. Mejía
61'
M
D. Mejía
61'
M
39
Domagoj Bukvić
M
Domagoj Bukvić
M
11
Nail Omerović
61'
F
Nail Omerović
61'
F
34
45'
F
57
Samuel Akere
F
Samuel Akere
F
Bench
17
Arnel Jakupović
45'
F
Arnel Jakupović
45'
F
3
Borna Barišić
29'
D
Borna Barišić
29'
D
23
Luka Vrbančić
M
Luka Vrbančić
M
98
Miloš Jovičić
F
Miloš Jovičić
F
8
S. Mikolcic
29'
M
99
T. Teklic
45'
M
21
Vladan Bubanja
14'
M
Vladan Bubanja
14'
M
1
G
20
Gregor Sikosek
D
14
R. Puncec
82'
D
13
Mario Mladenovski
D
23
1 👟
D
6
D. Puclin
67'
M
38
I. Tavares
2 ⚽
M
22
L. Mamic
45'
M
28
I. Canjuga
M
7
M. Vuk
53'
M
10
A. Latković
1 👟
67'
F
A. Latković
1 👟
67'
F
Bench
17
I. Mamut
F
I. Mamut
F
44
M. Barac
8'
D
24
M. Marina
23'
M
16
Novak Tepšić
37'
D
2
S. Lesjak
D
8
T. Duvnjak
45'
M
T. Duvnjak
45'
M
Best on the pitch
I. Tavares
M · NK
8.70
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 17 pass
D · NK
7.70
1 👟
· 22 pass
G · NK
7.70
· 30 pass
Jon Mersinaj
D · NK
7.30
· 88 pass
Arnel Jakupović
F · NK
7.20
1 shots
· 19 pass
D. Puclin
M · NK
7.20
2 shots
· 13 pass
NK Osijek — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Luka Jelenić | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Jon Mersinaj | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 88 | 84% | 3 | — | — |
| Ivano Kolarik | D | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 47% | 2 | 1 | — |
| David Čolina | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Oleksandr Petrusenko | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 70 | 63% | — | — | — |
| D. Mejía | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Domagoj Bukvić | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Nail Omerović | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 29% | — | — | — |
| F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — | |
| Samuel Akere | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Arnel Jakupović | F | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Borna Barišić | D | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mikolcic | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| T. Teklic | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Vladan Bubanja | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
NK Varazdin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Gregor Sikosek | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 8% | 4 | 1 | — |
| R. Puncec | D | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Mario Mladenovski | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 12% | 1 | — | — | |
| D. Puclin | M | 67 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 7% | 4 | — | — |
| I. Tavares | M | 90 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 3 | 17 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Mamic | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| I. Canjuga | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Vuk | M | 53 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Latković | F | 67 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Barac | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Marina | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Novak Tepšić | D | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| T. Duvnjak | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin?
The final score was NK Osijek 0–2 NK Varazdin.
What did the model predict before NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin?
The model assigned 30% probability to a NK Osijek win, 36% to a draw, and 32% to an NK Varazdin win.