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League One · Regular Season - 40 April 28, 2026 20:45
Northampton
#24 · 35 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Barnsley
#15 · 59 pts
37' (ast. P. Kelly) R. Cleary

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barnsley a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Northampton 24%). The final result was Northampton 0–1 Barnsley. In 1 previous meetings, Northampton have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Barnsley.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
2
43%
Possession
57%
5
Corners
2
15
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
37'
ast. P. Kelly · R. Cleary⚽
46'
A. Phillips / T. Bradshaw ↕
55'
C. O'Keeffe
↕ J. Guthrie / E. List
72'
72'
S. Banks / R. Cleary ↕
73'
L. Farrell / P. Kelly ↕
↕ D. Campbell / T. Eaves
80'
84'
K. Nwakali / C. O'Keeffe ↕
E. List
87'
Pre-match prediction
24.5%
Northampton
26.84%
X
48.67%
Barnsley ←
we assigned to the actual result (Barnsley) 48.67% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Northampton
0.73
—
—
Barnsley
1.43
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lincoln Lincoln 46 103
2 Cardiff Cardiff 46 91
3 Stockport County Stockport County 46 77
4 Bradford Bradford 46 77
5 Bolton Bolton 46 75
6 Stevenage Stevenage 46 75
7 Luton Luton 46 74
8 Plymouth Plymouth 46 73
9 Huddersfield Huddersfield 46 67
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 46 65
11 Wycombe Wycombe 46 63
12 Reading Reading 46 63
13 Blackpool Blackpool 46 60
14 Doncaster Doncaster 46 60
15 Barnsley Barnsley 46 59
16 Wigan Wigan 46 56
17 Burton Albion Burton Albion 46 54
18 Peterborough Peterborough 46 53
19 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 46 53
20 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 46 52
21 Exeter City Exeter City 46 49
22 Port Vale Port Vale 46 42
23 Rotherham Rotherham 46 41
24 Northampton Northampton 46 35
Lineups
Northampton Northampton 5-3-2
1
G 6.30
26
K. McAdam D 7.20
5
J. Guthrie 72' D 6.90
35
D 6.50
3
C. McCarthy D 6.90
12
N. Guinness-Walker D 7.30
8
C. McGeehan M 7.00
4
D. Campbell 80' M 7.30
14
T. Fornah M 6.30
7
S. Hoskins F 6.60
15
J. Evans F 6.50
Bench
10
E. List 18' M 6.90
27
J. Vale F
11
K. Swyer F
17
M. Jacobs M
9
T. Eaves 10' F 6.30
23
T. Taylor M
Barnsley Barnsley 4-2-3-1
51
G 7.20
32
J. Earl D 7.20
15
E. O'Connell D 7.70
6
M. de Gevigney D 7.20
7
C. O'Keeffe 84' D 6.90
48 L. Connell L. Connell M 7.60
30 Jonathan Bland Jonathan Bland M 6.90
19 R. Cleary R. Cleary 1 ⚽ 72' M 7.30
10 D. McGoldrick D. McGoldrick M 6.60
22
P. Kelly 1 👟 73' M 6.90
9
T. Bradshaw 45' F 6.60
Bench
8
A. Phillips 45' M 6.30
5
J. Shepherd D
39
Leo Farrell 17' F 6.30
18
S. Banks 18' F 7.00
Best on the pitch
E. O'Connell
D · Barnsley
7.70
· 44 pass
L. Connell
L. Connell
M · Barnsley
7.60
· 61 pass
R. Cleary
R. Cleary
M · Barnsley
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 19 pass
N. Guinness-Walker
D · Northampton
7.30
1 shots · 27 pass
D. Campbell
M · Northampton
7.30
1 shots · 47 pass
K. McAdam
D · Northampton
7.20
1 shots · 30 pass
Northampton Northampton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 31 7% — — —
K. McAdam D 90 7.20 — — 1 30 18% 1 — —
J. Guthrie D 72 6.90 — — — 20 17% — — —
D 90 6.50 — — — 45 27% — — —
C. McCarthy D 90 6.90 — — 1 24 13% 2 — —
N. Guinness-Walker D 90 7.30 — — 1 27 21% 4 — —
C. McGeehan M 90 7.00 — — 3 25 19% 2 — —
D. Campbell M 80 7.30 — — 1 47 40% 3 — —
T. Fornah M 90 6.30 — — — 31 20% 1 — —
S. Hoskins F 90 6.60 — — 2 15 6% — — —
J. Evans F 90 6.50 — — 1 14 6% 2 — —
E. List M 18 6.90 — — 1 3 3% — 1 —
T. Eaves F 10 6.30 — — — — — — — —
Barnsley Barnsley — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 — — — 29 13% — — —
J. Earl D 90 7.20 — — — 67 47% 3 — —
E. O'Connell D 90 7.70 — — — 44 33% 1 — —
M. de Gevigney D 90 7.20 — — — 38 30% 1 — —
C. O'Keeffe D 84 6.90 — — — 38 28% 1 1 —
L. Connell M 90 7.60 — — — 61 46% 2 — —
Jonathan Bland M 90 6.90 — — — 43 34% 2 — —
R. Cleary M 72 7.30 1 — 2 19 13% 1 — —
D. McGoldrick M 90 6.60 — — 2 35 28% 2 — —
P. Kelly M 73 6.90 — 1 — 32 28% 1 — —
T. Bradshaw F 45 6.60 — — 2 4 4% — — —
A. Phillips M 45 6.30 — — 1 19 15% — — —
Leo Farrell F 17 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
S. Banks F 18 7.00 — — 1 — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Northampton vs Barnsley?
The final score was Northampton 0–1 Barnsley.
What did the model predict before Northampton vs Barnsley?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Northampton win, 26% to a draw, and 48% to an Barnsley win.