La Liga
· Regular Season - 29
March 21, 2026 19:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Osasuna a 38% win probability (draw 26%, Girona 35%). The final result was Osasuna 1–0 Girona. In 1 previous meetings, Osasuna have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Girona.
Match statistics
11
Shots on target
0
1.90
Actual xG
0.22
48%
Possession
52%
6
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
38.98%
Osasuna ←
26.0%
X
35.02%
Girona
we assigned to the actual result (Osasuna)
38.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.13
1.90
+0.77
1.49
0.22
-1.27
Osasuna dominated by xG (1.90 vs 0.22).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Osasuna vs Girona?
The final score was Osasuna 1–0 Girona.
What did the model predict before Osasuna vs Girona?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Osasuna win, 26% to a draw, and 35% to an Girona win.