Serie B
· Regular Season - 37
May 01, 2026 15:00
C. Pastina
90'+4
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Pescara a 43% win probability (draw 28%, Padova 27%). The final result was Padova 1–0 Pescara. In 1 previous meetings, Padova have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Pescara.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
5
0.47
Actual xG
1.13
5
Saves
4
37%
Possession
63%
3
Corners
6
25
Tackles
6
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
14'
21'
F. Russo
/
A. Di Nardo
42'
A. Cagnano
P. Fusi
45'+2
55'
F. Caligara
/
L. Fanne
55'
G. Olzer
/
L. Meazzi
F. Belli
63'
G. Caprari
/ A. Seghetti
65'
P. Fusi
/ L. Di Maggio
66'
M. Bortolussi
/ F. Di Mariano
74'
L. Villa
79'
80'
(missed pen.)
F. Russo⚽
A. Capelli
/ P. Ghiglione
83'
G. Favale
/ J. Silva
83'
88'
D. Merola
/
L. Valzania
⚽C. Pastina
90'+4
90'+7
D. Merola
90'
L. Insigne
Pre-match prediction
27.68%
Padova ←
28.65%
X
43.67%
Pescara
we assigned to the actual result (Padova)
27.68%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.94
0.47
-0.47
1.52
1.13
-0.39
Pescara dominated by xG (1.13 vs 0.47).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
G
58
C. Pastina
1 ⚽
D
55
L. Villa
D
4
F. Belli
D
30
G. Favale
83'
M
7
Kevin Varas Marcillo
M
6
Lorenzo Crisetig
M
8
P. Fusi
66'
M
P. Fusi
66'
M
17
A. Capelli
83'
M
A. Capelli
83'
M
24
G. Caprari
65'
F
20
M. Bortolussi
74'
F
M. Bortolussi
74'
F
Bench
11
A. Seghetti
25'
F
72
Carlo Faedo
D
77
F. Di Mariano
16'
F
86
G. Giunti
M
41
J. Silva
14'
M
23
L. Di Maggio
24'
M
5
M. Perrotta
D
M. Perrotta
D
18
P. Ghiglione
14'
D
22
G
32
A. Cagnano
D
6
D. Bettella
D
2
D
3
G. Letizia
D
14
L. Valzania
88'
M
8
M
18
L. Fanne
55'
M
11
L. Insigne
M
7
L. Meazzi
55'
M
9
Antonio Di Nardo
21'
F
Antonio Di Nardo
21'
F
Bench
26
A. Gravillon
D
19
D. Faraoni
D
10
D. Merola
9'
F
21
F. Caligara
35'
M
31
F. Russo
69'
F
15
G. Altare
D
27
G. Olzer
35'
M
Best on the pitch
G · Padova
8.90
· 23 pass
C. Pastina
D · Padova
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 33 pass
P. Fusi
M · Padova
7.30
1 shots
· 27 pass
G. Letizia
D · Pescara
7.20
1 shots
· 74 pass
G · Pescara
7.20
· 23 pass
G. Caprari
F · Padova
7.20
1 shots
· 29 pass
Padova — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| C. Pastina | D | 90 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 33 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| L. Villa | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Belli | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| G. Favale | M | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Varas Marcillo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Lorenzo Crisetig | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Fusi | M | 66 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 7 | 1 | — |
| A. Capelli | M | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Caprari | F | 65 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Bortolussi | F | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Seghetti | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| F. Di Mariano | F | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Silva | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Di Maggio | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| P. Ghiglione | D | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Pescara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| A. Cagnano | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 44% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Bettella | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 55 | 45% | — | — | — | |
| G. Letizia | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Valzania | M | 88 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 55% | 1 | — | — | |
| L. Fanne | M | 55 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| L. Insigne | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 47% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Meazzi | M | 55 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Antonio Di Nardo | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| D. Merola | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Caligara | M | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| F. Russo | F | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| G. Olzer | M | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Padova vs Pescara?
The final score was Padova 1–0 Pescara.
What did the model predict before Padova vs Pescara?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Padova win, 28% to a draw, and 43% to an Pescara win.