Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 7
March 19, 2026 00:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 44% win probability (draw 27%, Botafogo 27%). The final result was Palmeiras 2–1 Botafogo.
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
3
1.71
Actual xG
0.60
52%
Possession
48%
6
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
44.9%
Palmeiras ←
27.41%
X
27.69%
Botafogo
we assigned to the actual result (Palmeiras)
44.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.22
1.71
-1.51
0.88
0.60
-0.28
Palmeiras dominated by xG (1.71 vs 0.60).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Botafogo?
The final score was Palmeiras 2–1 Botafogo.
What did the model predict before Palmeiras vs Botafogo?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Palmeiras win, 27% to a draw, and 27% to an Botafogo win.