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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32 May 03, 2026 17:15
Paris FC
#11 · 41 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Stade Brestois 29
#12 · 38 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Paris FC
R. Matondo 13'
W. Geubbels (ast. J. Ikone) 20'
R. Matondo 67'
L. Koleosho (ast. V. Marchetti) 89'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Paris FC a 64% win probability (draw 22%, Stade Brestois 29 13%). The final result was Paris FC 4–0 Stade Brestois 29. In 1 previous meetings, Paris FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Stade Brestois 29.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
1
1.79
Actual xG
0.77
1
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
7
Corners
3
17
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽R. Matondo
13'
⚽W. Geubbels · ast. J. Ikone
20'
H. Traore
24'
26'
B. Chardonnet
M. Mbow
35'
60'
J. Dina Ebimbe / R. Labeau Lascary ↕
60'
H. Makalou / L. Tousart ↕
↕ I. Kebbal / M. Lopez
65'
↕ W. Geubbels / L. Koleosho
65'
⚽R. Matondo
67'
70'
K. Doumbia / H. Magnetti ↕
71'
M. Balde / R. Del Castillo ↕
↕ R. Matondo / V. Marchetti
77'
↕ J. Ikone / C. Immobile
77'
83'
P. Mboup / J. Chotard ↕
↕ H. Traore / T. Ollila
85'
⚽L. Koleosho · ast. V. Marchetti
89'
Pre-match prediction
64.22%
Paris ←
22.12%
X
13.66%
Stade
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Paris FC) 64.22% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Paris
2.39
1.79
-0.6
Stade
0.94
0.77
-0.17
Paris FC dominated by xG (1.79 vs 0.77). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Paris FC Paris FC 4-2-3-1
35 Kevin Trapp Kevin Trapp G 6.30
19
D 6.60
5 Moustapha Mbow Moustapha Mbow D 7.20
42
D 7.50
14 Hamari Traoré Hamari Traoré 85' D 7.30
23 Rudy Matondo Rudy Matondo 2 ⚽ 77' M 8.60
18 Marshall Munetsi Marshall Munetsi M 6.20
27 Moses Simon Moses Simon M 6.90
10 I. Kebbal I. Kebbal 65' M 7.30
93 J. Ikoné J. Ikoné 1 👟 77' M 7.30
9 Willem Geubbels Willem Geubbels 1 ⚽ 65' F 7.30
Bench
17 A. Camara A. Camara M
7 Alimami Gory Alimami Gory F
36 Ciro Immobile Ciro Immobile 13' F 6.70
24 Luca Koleosho Luca Koleosho 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.90
21 M. Lopez M. Lopez 25' M 6.60
6 Otávio Otávio D
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 4-1-4-1
30 Grégoire Coudert Grégoire Coudert G 6.00
12
D 5.70
71
D 5.20
5 Brendan Chardonnet Brendan Chardonnet D 5.90
77 Kenny Lala Kenny Lala D 5.30
13 Joris Chotard Joris Chotard 83' M 6.70
14 Remy Labeau Lascary Remy Labeau Lascary 60' M 6.20
8 Hugo Magnetti Hugo Magnetti 70' M 7.00
24 Lucas Tousart Lucas Tousart 60' M 6.70
10 Romain Del Castillo Romain Del Castillo 71' M 6.90
19 Ludovic Ajorque Ludovic Ajorque F 6.50
Bench
7 Eric Ebimbe Eric Ebimbe 30' M 6.50
23 Kamory Doumbia Kamory Doumbia 20' M 6.70
4 Michel Diaz Michel Diaz D
Best on the pitch
Rudy Matondo
Rudy Matondo
M · Paris
8.60
2 ⚽
3 shots · 29 pass
Luca Koleosho
Luca Koleosho
F · Paris
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 5 pass
D · Paris
7.50
1 shots · 39 pass
Hamari Traoré
Hamari Traoré
D · Paris
7.30
· 49 pass
Willem Geubbels
Willem Geubbels
F · Paris
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
J. Ikoné
J. Ikoné
M · Paris
7.30
1 👟
· 45 pass
Paris FC Paris FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kevin Trapp G 90 6.30 — — — 29 15% — — —
D 90 6.60 — — — 38 35% 2 — —
Moustapha Mbow D 90 7.20 — — 1 47 42% 1 1 —
D 90 7.50 — — 1 39 36% — — —
Hamari Traoré D 85 7.30 — — — 49 44% 3 1 —
Rudy Matondo M 77 8.60 2 — 3 29 28% 2 — —
Marshall Munetsi M 90 6.20 — — — 36 26% 3 — —
Moses Simon M 90 6.90 — — 3 24 20% 2 — —
I. Kebbal M 65 7.30 — — 1 44 36% — — —
J. Ikoné M 77 7.30 — 1 — 45 41% 2 — —
Willem Geubbels F 65 7.30 1 — 1 14 8% 1 — —
Ciro Immobile F 13 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
Luca Koleosho F 25 7.90 1 — 2 5 5% 1 — —
M. Lopez M 25 6.60 — — — 19 18% — — —
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Grégoire Coudert G 90 6.00 — — — 36 24% — — —
D 90 5.70 — — 1 35 26% — — —
D 90 5.20 — — 2 41 33% — — —
Brendan Chardonnet D 90 5.90 — — — 47 45% — 1 —
Kenny Lala D 90 5.30 — — — 44 34% 1 — —
Joris Chotard M 83 6.70 — — 1 42 36% 2 — —
Remy Labeau Lascary M 60 6.20 — — 1 7 6% 1 — —
Hugo Magnetti M 70 7.00 — — — 29 27% 2 — —
Lucas Tousart M 60 6.70 — — 1 15 12% 2 — —
Romain Del Castillo M 71 6.90 — — — 27 24% — — —
Ludovic Ajorque F 90 6.50 — — — 22 17% — — —
Eric Ebimbe M 30 6.50 — — 1 14 13% 1 — —
Kamory Doumbia M 20 6.70 — — — 14 12% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29?
The final score was Paris FC 4–0 Stade Brestois 29.
What did the model predict before Paris FC vs Stade Brestois 29?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Paris FC win, 22% to a draw, and 13% to an Stade Brestois 29 win.