Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 1
April 10, 2026 02:00
54'
(ast. R. Garro)
Kayke
70'
(ast. R. Garro)
Yuri Alberto
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Platense a 30% win probability (draw 42%, Corinthians 27%). The final result was Platense 0–2 Corinthians.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
6
2
Shots on target
3
0.20
Actual xG
1.24
1
Saves
2
57%
Possession
43%
5
Corners
1
14
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
45'
Andre
54'
ast. R. Garro ·
Kayke⚽
A. Lotti
/ L. Heredia
63'
P. Ferreira
/ I. Gomez
69'
F. Zapiola
/ J. Gauto
70'
70'
ast. R. Garro ·
Yuri Alberto⚽
I. Vazquez
/ E. Raggio
75'
G. Mainero
/ K. Retamar
75'
J. Saborido
80'
83'
A. Carrillo
/
Andre
83'
Vitinho
/
Kayke
86'
Pedro Raul
/
Yuri Alberto
87'
J. Lingard
/
R. Garro
87'
Allan
/
Raniele
Pre-match prediction
30.07%
Platense
42.07%
X
27.86%
Corinthians ←
we assigned to the actual result (Corinthians)
27.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.53
0.20
-0.33
0.47
1.24
+0.77
Corinthians dominated by xG (1.24 vs 0.20).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
20
G
3
Tomás Ariel Silva
D
31
Victor Cuesta
D
13
I. Vazquez
74'
D
25
J. Saborido
80'
D
10
Franco Zapiola
70'
M
26
P. Ferreira
69'
M
15
M. Amarfil
M
7
G. Mainero
75'
M
G. Mainero
75'
M
99
G. Lencina
F
21
A. Lotti
63'
F
Bench
4
Agustín Lagos
D
18
B. Merlini
F
38
Celías Ingenthron
D
6
Eugenio Raggio
16'
D
5
I. Gomez
21'
M
33
J. Gauto
20'
F
43
K. Retamar
15'
F
34
Mateo Mendia
D
24
M. Barrios
M
9
T. Nasif
F
1
G
21
Matheus Bidu
D
Matheus Bidu
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
D
Gustavo Henrique
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
Gabriel Paulista
D
2
Matheuzinho
D
Matheuzinho
D
14
Raniele
87'
M
Raniele
87'
M
49
Andre
83'
M
31
Kayke
1 ⚽
83'
M
8
R. Garro
2 👟
87'
M
R. Garro
2 👟
87'
M
7
Breno Bidon
M
Breno Bidon
M
9
Yuri Alberto
1 ⚽
86'
F
Yuri Alberto
1 ⚽
86'
F
Bench
29
Allan
3'
M
5
André Ramalho
D
André Ramalho
D
61
Dieguinho
M
Dieguinho
M
77
J. Lingard
3'
M
J. Lingard
3'
M
51
Kauê
G
Kauê
G
23
Matheus Pereira
M
Matheus Pereira
M
11
Vitinho
11'
F
Best on the pitch
Kayke
M · Corinthians
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
Yuri Alberto
F · Corinthians
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
R. Garro
M · Corinthians
7.50
2 👟
· 28 pass
G · Corinthians
7.50
· 27 pass
Gustavo Henrique
D · Corinthians
7.20
· 37 pass
Eugenio Raggio
D · Platense
7.00
· 11 pass
Platense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| Tomás Ariel Silva | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Victor Cuesta | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Vazquez | D | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 38% | — | — | — |
| J. Saborido | D | 80 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Franco Zapiola | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Ferreira | M | 69 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Amarfil | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 64% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Mainero | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| G. Lencina | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Lotti | F | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Eugenio Raggio | D | 16 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Gomez | M | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Gauto | F | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| K. Retamar | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Corinthians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Matheus Bidu | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Raniele | M | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Andre | M | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Kayke | M | 83 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Garro | M | 87 | 7.50 | — | 2 | — | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Breno Bidon | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 86 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Allan | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Lingard | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Platense vs Corinthians?
The final score was Platense 0–2 Corinthians.
What did the model predict before Platense vs Corinthians?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Platense win, 42% to a draw, and 27% to an Corinthians win.