MLS
· Regular Season - 5
March 22, 2026 22:45
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles Galaxy a 37% win probability (draw 29%, Portland Timbers 32%). The final result was Portland Timbers 1–1 Los Angeles Galaxy.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
7
0.40
Actual xG
1.76
34%
Possession
66%
2
Corners
9
Pre-match prediction
32.76%
Portland
29.93%
X ←
37.31%
Los
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.57
0.40
-1.17
2.19
1.76
-0.43
Los Angeles Galaxy dominated by xG (1.76 vs 0.40).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The final score was Portland Timbers 1–1 Los Angeles Galaxy.
What did the model predict before Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Portland Timbers win, 29% to a draw, and 37% to an Los Angeles Galaxy win.