← Brasileirão Série D

Porto BA - Vitória ES

Brasileirão Série D May 16, 2026 21:00
Porto BA
#3 · 9 pts
vs
Vitória ES
#2 · 9 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.44%
Win
Porto BA
31.84%
Draw
35.72%
Win
Vitória ES
0.9
Expected xG
1.07

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Vitória ES a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Porto BA. Expected goals are 0.9 for Porto BA and 1.1 for Vitória ES (total 2.0), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 14.9% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Porto BA have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vitória ES.

Score Matrix
↕ Porto BA Vitória ES →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.9% 14.9% 8.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.5% 13.4% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.6% 6.0% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —
Recent form
Porto BA Porto BA
D Real Noroeste 0–0
W Real Noroeste 1–2
L Vitória ES 3–0
W Democrata GV 1–0
L Tombense 3–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 36%
Vitória ES Vitória ES
W Democrata GV 2–1
L Democrata GV 2–0
W Porto BA 3–0
L Rio Branco ES 1–2
W Real Noroeste 1–3
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 20%
Playing profile
Porto BA Porto BA
Attack
24
Defence
64
Form
53
Vitória ES Vitória ES
Attack
38
Defence
71
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Porto BA
0
Draw
1
Vitória ES
L 25 Apr 2026 Brasileirão Série D 0–3
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 CSA CSA 6 13
1 Nacional AM Nacional AM 6 13
1 Portuguesa Portuguesa 6 11
1 Águia de Marabá Águia de Marabá 6 12
1 Democrata GV Democrata GV 6 10
1 Iguatu Iguatu 6 14
1 Joinville Joinville 6 11
1 Ferroviario Ferroviario 6 11
1 Blumenau Blumenau 6 13
1 Gama Gama 6 16
1 Uberlandia Uberlandia 6 15
1 ABC ABC 6 13
1 Sergipe Sergipe 6 13
1 Araguaína Araguaína 6 14
1 XV de Piracicaba XV de Piracicaba 6 12
1 Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC 6 14
2 Vitória ES Vitória ES 6 9
2 Cascavel Cascavel 6 11
2 Manauara Manauara 6 12
2 Água Santa Água Santa 6 10
2 Aparecidense Aparecidense 6 10
2 Guaporé Guaporé 6 14
2 Capital Brasilia Capital Brasilia 6 13
2 Parnahyba Parnahyba 6 10
2 Marcílio Dias Marcílio Dias 6 11
2 Treze Treze 5 10
2 Ivinhema Ivinhema 6 11
2 Fluminense PI Fluminense PI 6 9
2 Juazeirense Juazeirense 6 12
2 Trem Trem 6 11
2 America-RN America-RN 6 11
2 Velo Clube Velo Clube 6 9
3 Ceilândia Ceilândia 6 7
3 Sousa Sousa 6 9
3 Imperatriz Imperatriz 6 9
3 Piauí Piauí 6 8
3 Porto BA Porto BA 6 9
3 Primavera MG Primavera MG 6 8
3 Noroeste Noroeste 6 8
3 Porto Velho Porto Velho 6 10
3 Cianorte Cianorte 6 9
3 Serra Branca Serra Branca 6 10
3 Sao Raimundo Sao Raimundo 6 9
3 CRAC CRAC 6 8
3 ASA ASA 6 10
3 Portuguesa RJ Portuguesa RJ 6 9
3 Independiente FSJ Independiente FSJ 6 11
3 Maracanã Maracanã 6 9
4 Sampaio Corrêa RJ Sampaio Corrêa RJ 6 8
4 Maguary PE Maguary PE 6 8
4 Mixto Mixto 6 6
4 Tuna Luso Tuna Luso 6 6
4 Moto Club Moto Club 6 8
4 Lagarto Lagarto 6 5
4 CSE CSE 6 7
4 Tombense Tombense 6 9
4 Madureira Madureira 6 7
4 Brasil DE Pelotas Brasil DE Pelotas 6 7
4 São Luiz São Luiz 6 8
4 Betim Betim 6 8
4 Monte Roraima Monte Roraima 6 6
4 Uniclinic Atletico Clube Uniclinic Atletico Clube 6 7
4 Luverdense Luverdense 6 8
4 Galvez Galvez 6 7
5 CFRJ / Maricá CFRJ / Maricá 6 7
5 União Rondonópolis União Rondonópolis 6 5
5 Brasiliense Brasiliense 6 7
5 Jacuipense Jacuipense 6 7
5 Altos Altos 6 7
5 Pouso Alegre Pouso Alegre 6 7
5 Tocantinópolis Tocantinópolis 6 6
5 Santa Catarina Santa Catarina 6 7
5 Sampaio Correa Sampaio Correa 6 4
5 Central SC Central SC 6 8
5 Sao Jose Sao Jose 6 5
5 Manaus FC Manaus FC 6 5
5 Rio Branco ES Rio Branco ES 6 9
5 Operario Ferroviario Operario Ferroviario 6 3
5 Retrô Retrô 6 5
5 Independência Independência 6 5
6 ABECAT Ouvidorense ABECAT Ouvidorense 6 3
6 Nova Iguaçu Nova Iguaçu 6 3
6 Atlético Alagoinhas Atlético Alagoinhas 6 3
6 Guarany de Bagé Guarany de Bagé 6 4
6 Inhumas Inhumas 6 0
6 Oratório Oratório 6 3
6 Decisão Decisão 5 4
6 CEOV Operário CEOV Operário 6 4
6 Humaitá Humaitá 6 0
6 Tirol/CEFAT Tirol/CEFAT 6 5
6 Real Noroeste Real Noroeste 6 4
6 Laguna Laguna 6 1
6 IAPE IAPE 6 2
6 América RJ América RJ 6 5
6 GAS GAS 6 2
6 Azuriz Azuriz 6 2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Porto BA vs Vitória ES?
The model gives Porto BA a 32% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 35% for an Vitória ES win.
How many goals are expected in Porto BA vs Vitória ES?
Expected goals: Porto BA 0.9, Vitória ES 1.1 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Porto BA vs Vitória ES?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.9%.