Portuguesa - Água Santa: prediction — Brasileirão Série D — May 16, 2026

← Brasileirão Série D

Brasileirão Série D May 16, 2026 21:00

Portuguesa

#1 · 11 pts

21:00

Água Santa

#2 · 10 pts

⚡ Pre-match analysis

37.61%

Win

Portuguesa

31.26%

Draw

31.13%

Win

Água Santa

1.21

Expected xG

0.89

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Portuguesa a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Água Santa. Expected goals are 1.2 for Portuguesa and 0.9 for Água Santa (total 2.1), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.8% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Portuguesa have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Água Santa.

Score Matrix

↕ Portuguesa Água Santa →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12.3%	10.9%	4.9%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%
1	14.8%	13.2%	5.9%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
2	9.0%	8.0%	3.5%	1.1%	0.2%	—
3	3.6%	3.2%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%	—
4	1.1%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	—	—
5	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	—	—	—

Recent form

Portuguesa

L Madureira 1–0

W Madureira 2–1

W Água Santa 0–1

D América RJ 1–1

W Pouso Alegre 3–0

Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 24%

Água Santa

D Portuguesa RJ 2–2

W Portuguesa RJ 1–0

L Portuguesa 0–1

W Pouso Alegre 0–2

L Madureira 3–1

Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 29%

Playing profile

Portuguesa

Attack

Defence

Form

Água Santa

Attack

Defence

Form

Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

Portuguesa

Draw

Água Santa

W 25 Apr 2026 Brasileirão Série D 1–0

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	CSA	6	13
1	Nacional AM	6	13
1	Portuguesa	6	11
1	Águia de Marabá	6	12
1	Democrata GV	6	10
1	Iguatu	6	14
1	Joinville	6	11
1	Ferroviario	6	11
1	Blumenau	6	13
1	Gama	6	16
1	Uberlandia	6	15
1	ABC	6	13
1	Sergipe	6	13
1	Araguaína	6	14
1	XV de Piracicaba	6	12
1	Goiatuba EC	6	14
2	Vitória ES	6	9
2	Cascavel	6	11
2	Manauara	6	12
2	Água Santa	6	10
2	Aparecidense	6	10
2	Guaporé	6	14
2	Capital Brasilia	6	13
2	Parnahyba	6	10
2	Marcílio Dias	6	11
2	Treze	5	10
2	Ivinhema	6	11
2	Fluminense PI	6	9
2	Juazeirense	6	12
2	Trem	6	11
2	America-RN	6	11
2	Velo Clube	6	9
3	Ceilândia	6	7
3	Sousa	6	9
3	Imperatriz	6	9
3	Piauí	6	8
3	Porto BA	6	9
3	Primavera MG	6	8
3	Noroeste	6	8
3	Porto Velho	6	10
3	Cianorte	6	9
3	Serra Branca	6	10
3	Sao Raimundo	6	9
3	CRAC	6	8
3	ASA	6	10
3	Portuguesa RJ	6	9
3	Independiente FSJ	6	11
3	Maracanã	6	9
4	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	6	8
4	Maguary PE	6	8
4	Mixto	6	6
4	Tuna Luso	6	6
4	Moto Club	6	8
4	Lagarto	6	5
4	CSE	6	7
4	Tombense	6	9
4	Madureira	6	7
4	Brasil DE Pelotas	6	7
4	São Luiz	6	8
4	Betim	6	8
4	Monte Roraima	6	6
4	Uniclinic Atletico Clube	6	7
4	Luverdense	6	8
4	Galvez	6	7
5	CFRJ / Maricá	6	7
5	União Rondonópolis	6	5
5	Brasiliense	6	7
5	Jacuipense	6	7
5	Altos	6	7
5	Pouso Alegre	6	7
5	Tocantinópolis	6	6
5	Santa Catarina	6	7
5	Sampaio Correa	6	4
5	Central SC	6	8
5	Sao Jose	6	5
5	Manaus FC	6	5
5	Rio Branco ES	6	9
5	Operario Ferroviario	6	3
5	Retrô	6	5
5	Independência	6	5
6	ABECAT Ouvidorense	6	3
6	Nova Iguaçu	6	3
6	Atlético Alagoinhas	6	3
6	Guarany de Bagé	6	4
6	Inhumas	6	0
6	Oratório	6	3
6	Decisão	5	4
6	CEOV Operário	6	4
6	Humaitá	6	0
6	Tirol/CEFAT	6	5
6	Real Noroeste	6	4
6	Laguna	6	1
6	IAPE	6	2
6	América RJ	6	5
6	GAS	6	2
6	Azuriz	6	2