Pouso Alegre - Portuguesa RJ
Brasileirão Série D
May 16, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.62%
Win
Pouso Alegre
33.31%
Draw
36.08%
Win
Portuguesa RJ
0.68
0.95
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Portuguesa RJ a 36% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Pouso Alegre. Expected goals are 0.7 for Pouso Alegre and 0.9 for Portuguesa RJ (total 1.6), with a 69% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 19.7% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Pouso Alegre have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Portuguesa RJ.
Score Matrix
↕ Pouso Alegre
Portuguesa RJ →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19.7% | 18.6% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 12.7% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Pouso Alegre
Attack
21
Defence
72
Form
52
Portuguesa RJ
Attack
37
Defence
83
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
L
26 Apr 2026
0–2
League Table
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Pouso Alegre vs Portuguesa RJ?
The model gives Pouso Alegre a 30% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 36% for an Portuguesa RJ win.
How many goals are expected in Pouso Alegre vs Portuguesa RJ?
Expected goals: Pouso Alegre 0.7, Portuguesa RJ 0.9 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 69%.
What is the most likely score in Pouso Alegre vs Portuguesa RJ?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 19.7%.