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Puskas Academy - MTK Budapest

OTP Bank Liga May 15, 2026 20:00
#6 · 45 pts
vs
#10 · 37 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.03%
Win
Puskas Academy
28.23%
Draw
30.73%
Win
MTK Budapest
1.21
Expected xG
1.06

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Puskas Academy a 41% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 30% for MTK Budapest. Expected goals are 1.2 for Puskas Academy and 1.1 for MTK Budapest (total 2.3), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.3% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Puskas Academy have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for MTK Budapest.

Score Matrix
↕ Puskas Academy MTK Budapest →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3% 11.0% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.5% 13.3% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.5% 8.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Recent form
W Zalaegerszegi TE 1–3
W Ujpest 2–0
L Paks 1–0
L Ferencvarosi TC 2–1
L Gyori ETO FC 1–4
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 22%
D Nyiregyhaza 1–1
D Kazincbarcikai 0–0
W Kisvarda FC 2–1
W Zalaegerszegi TE 3–0
D Ujpest 2–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 30%
Playing profile
Puskas Academy Puskas Academy
Attack
33
Defence
61
Form
49
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest
Attack
29
Defence
75
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Gyori ETO FC Gyori ETO FC 32 66
2 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 32 65
3 Paks Paks 32 50
4 Debreceni VSC Debreceni VSC 32 50
5 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 32 48
6 Puskas Academy Puskas Academy 32 45
7 Ujpest Ujpest 32 40
8 Kisvarda FC Kisvarda FC 32 40
9 Nyiregyhaza Nyiregyhaza 32 39
10 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 32 37
11 Diosgyori VTK Diosgyori VTK 32 28
12 Kazincbarcikai Kazincbarcikai 32 21
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest?
The model gives Puskas Academy a 41% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 30% for an MTK Budapest win.
How many goals are expected in Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest?
Expected goals: Puskas Academy 1.2, MTK Budapest 1.1 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Puskas Academy vs MTK Budapest?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.3%.