Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 8
March 22, 2026 21:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bahia a 36% win probability (draw 30%, Remo 32%). The final result was Remo 4–1 Bahia.
Match statistics
10
Shots on target
3
1.51
Actual xG
1.40
38%
Possession
62%
5
Corners
9
Pre-match prediction
32.52%
Remo ←
30.84%
X
36.64%
Bahia
we assigned to the actual result (Remo)
32.52%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
1.51
+0.46
1.37
1.40
+0.03
xG dominance was balanced (1.51 – 1.40).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Remo vs Bahia?
The final score was Remo 4–1 Bahia.
What did the model predict before Remo vs Bahia?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Remo win, 30% to a draw, and 36% to an Bahia win.