Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 27
March 22, 2026 17:15
✗Model wrong — prediction Rennes, result Pareggio
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Rennes a 74% win probability (draw 16%, Metz 8%). The final result was Rennes 0–0 Metz. In 1 previous meetings, Rennes have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Metz.
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
2
1.52
Actual xG
0.33
68%
Possession
32%
8
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
74.78%
Rennes
16.45%
X ←
8.77%
Metz
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
16.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.34
1.52
-0.82
0.68
0.33
-0.35
Rennes dominated by xG (1.52 vs 0.33).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Rennes vs Metz?
The final score was Rennes 0–0 Metz.
What did the model predict before Rennes vs Metz?
The model assigned 74% probability to a Rennes win, 16% to a draw, and 8% to an Metz win.