Rosenborg - Aalesund
Eliteserien
May 16, 2026 16:00
Weather at kick-off
🌦️
Light drizzle
12.3°C
💨 8 km/h
🌧️ 33%
· Trondheim
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.77%
Win
Rosenborg
29.42%
Draw
27.81%
Win
Aalesund
1.41
0.81
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rosenborg a 42% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Aalesund. Expected goals are 1.4 for Rosenborg and 0.8 for Aalesund (total 2.2), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.3% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Rosenborg
Aalesund →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.8% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 15.3% | 12.4% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | — |
| 2 | 10.8% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Rosenborg
Attack
26
Defence
59
Form
40
Aalesund
Attack
35
Defence
44
Form
25
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tromso
|
10 | 23 |
| 2 |
Viking
|
8 | 21 |
| 3 |
Lillestrom
|
8 | 16 |
| 4 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
7 | 13 |
| 5 |
Molde
|
8 | 13 |
| 6 |
Ham-Kam
|
7 | 13 |
| 7 |
Sandefjord
|
8 | 13 |
| 8 |
Brann
|
8 | 10 |
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
|
8 | 8 |
| 10 |
Kristiansund BK
|
7 | 8 |
| 11 |
Valerenga
|
8 | 8 |
| 12 |
KFUM Oslo
|
8 | 8 |
| 13 |
Rosenborg
|
8 | 8 |
| 14 |
Fredrikstad
|
8 | 7 |
| 15 |
Start
|
8 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aalesund
|
7 | 3 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Rosenborg vs Aalesund?
The model gives Rosenborg a 42% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 27% for an Aalesund win.
How many goals are expected in Rosenborg vs Aalesund?
Expected goals: Rosenborg 1.4, Aalesund 0.8 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Rosenborg vs Aalesund?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.3%.