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Rotor Volgograd - Chayka

First League May 16, 2026 12:00
Rotor Volgograd
#4 · 53 pts
vs
Chayka
#18 · 22 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 27.4°C 💨 9 km/h · Volgograd
⚡ Pre-match analysis
82.37%
Win
Rotor Volgograd
12.16%
Draw
5.47%
Win
Chayka
3.02
Expected xG
0.52
Model prediction
Rotor Volgograd
82.37%
Probability

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rotor Volgograd a 82% win probability, against 12% for a draw and 5% for Chayka. Expected goals are 3.0 for Rotor Volgograd and 0.5 for Chayka (total 3.5), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–0 at 13.3% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Rotor Volgograd have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Chayka.

Score Matrix
↕ Rotor Volgograd Chayka →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% — —
1 8.8% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% — —
2 13.2% 6.9% 1.8% 0.3% — —
3 13.3% 6.9% 1.8% 0.3% — —
4 10.0% 5.2% 1.4% 0.2% — —
5 6.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% — —
Recent form
Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd
L FC UFA 1–0
D Arsenal Tula 2–2
D Volga Ulyanovsk 0–0
W Rodina Moskva 2–0
W Ska-khabarovsk 1–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 47%
Chayka Chayka
L Chernomorets 0–2
L Torpedo Moskva 0–2
L KAMAZ 2–1
L Volga Ulyanovsk 2–1
W Fakel 2–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 15%
Playing profile
Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd
Attack
42
Defence
81
Form
63
Chayka Chayka
Attack
21
Defence
47
Form
27
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Rotor Volgograd
0
Draw
0
Chayka
W 3 Sep 2025 First League 6–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 33 65
2 Fakel Fakel 33 65
3 Ural Ural 33 61
4 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 33 53
5 KAMAZ KAMAZ 33 49
6 Enisey Enisey 33 49
7 Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma 33 49
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl 33 47
9 Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva 33 43
10 Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk 33 43
11 FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik 33 43
12 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 33 39
13 Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk 33 39
14 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk 33 37
15 FC UFA FC UFA 33 34
16 Chernomorets Chernomorets 33 32
17 FK Sokol Saratov FK Sokol Saratov 33 23
18 Chayka Chayka 33 22
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Rotor Volgograd vs Chayka?
The model gives Rotor Volgograd a 82% win probability, 12% for a draw, and 5% for an Chayka win.
How many goals are expected in Rotor Volgograd vs Chayka?
Expected goals: Rotor Volgograd 3.0, Chayka 0.5 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Rotor Volgograd vs Chayka?
3–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.3%.