Serie B
· Regular Season - 33
April 06, 2026 17:15
N. Pierini
58'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Empoli a 35% win probability (draw 31%, Sampdoria 33%). The final result was Sampdoria 1–0 Empoli. In 1 previous meetings, Sampdoria have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Empoli.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
0
1.56
Actual xG
0.69
0
Saves
2
44%
Possession
56%
7
Corners
4
16
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽N. Pierini
58'
60'
B. Popov
/
M. Nasti
60'
J. Ceesay
/
E. Saporiti
A. Barak
/ L. Cherubini
66'
74'
F. Bianchi
/
L. Magnino
74'
N. Haas
/
A. Ghion
T. Begic
76'
80'
B. Moruzzi
T. Begic
/ M. Cicconi
82'
M. Coda
/ E. Soleri
83'
A. Di Pardo
/ M. Palma
83'
86'
D. Fila
/
A. Candela
87'
N. Haas
N. Pierini
/ F. Depaoli
90'+3
E. Soleri
90'
Pre-match prediction
33.05%
Sampdoria ←
31.77%
X
35.18%
Empoli
we assigned to the actual result (Sampdoria)
33.05%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.82
1.56
+0.74
1.32
0.69
-0.63
Sampdoria dominated by xG (1.56 vs 0.69).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
50
G
21
S. Giordano
D
2
M. Viti
D
28
O. Abildgaard
D
29
A. Di Pardo
83'
D
77
Nicholas Pierini
1 ⚽
89'
M
94
S. Esposito
M
33
M
72
A. Barák
66'
M
A. Barák
66'
M
11
T. Begic
82'
M
9
M. Coda
83'
F
Bench
92
E. Soleri
12'
F
23
F. Depaoli
1'
D
F. Depaoli
1'
D
10
L. Cherubini
24'
F
7
M. Cicconi
8'
M
13
M. Palma
12'
D
8
M. Ricci
M
21
G
27
B. Moruzzi
D
34
Gabriele Guarino
D
20
M. Lovato
D
26
A. Candela
86'
D
14
Gerard Yepes
M
Gerard Yepes
M
18
A. Ghion
74'
M
70
E. Saporiti
60'
M
11
S. Shpendi
M
S. Shpendi
M
8
L. Magnino
74'
M
19
M. Nasti
60'
F
Bench
77
Bogdan Popov
30'
F
17
D. Fila
9'
F
15
J. Ceesay
30'
D
2
Marco Curto
D
32
N. Haas
16'
M
10
R. Ilie
M
24
T. Ebuehi
D
Best on the pitch
Gabriele Guarino
D · Empoli
8.00
1 shots
· 105 pass
Nicholas Pierini
M · Sampdoria
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
S. Esposito
M · Sampdoria
7.90
· 52 pass
A. Di Pardo
D · Sampdoria
7.50
· 48 pass
Gerard Yepes
M · Empoli
7.30
1 shots
· 60 pass
O. Abildgaard
D · Sampdoria
7.30
· 42 pass
Sampdoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| S. Giordano | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 38% | — | — | — |
| M. Viti | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 41% | — | — | — |
| O. Abildgaard | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Di Pardo | D | 83 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 48 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Nicholas Pierini | M | 89 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| S. Esposito | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 47% | 5 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 12% | 2 | — | — | |
| A. Barák | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Begic | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Coda | F | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Soleri | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Depaoli | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Cherubini | F | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Cicconi | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Palma | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Empoli — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 38% | — | — | — | |
| B. Moruzzi | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gabriele Guarino | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 105 | 99% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Lovato | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 86 | 82% | — | — | — |
| A. Candela | D | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Gerard Yepes | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ghion | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | — | — | — |
| E. Saporiti | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Shpendi | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| L. Magnino | M | 74 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| M. Nasti | F | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Bogdan Popov | F | 30 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| D. Fila | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| J. Ceesay | D | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| N. Haas | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Empoli?
The final score was Sampdoria 1–0 Empoli.
What did the model predict before Sampdoria vs Empoli?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Sampdoria win, 31% to a draw, and 35% to an Empoli win.