Serie B
· Regular Season - 35
April 17, 2026 20:30
5'
(ast. F. Delli Carri)
P. Cutrone
13'
(ast. P. Cutrone)
G. Caso
85'
(ast. A. Bakoune)
A. Petagna
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monza a 48% win probability (draw 31%, Sampdoria 20%). The final result was Sampdoria 0–3 Monza. In 1 previous meetings, Sampdoria have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Monza.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
12
8
Shots on target
4
0.73
Actual xG
1.39
1
Saves
8
62%
Possession
38%
8
Corners
5
21
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
5'
ast. F. Delli Carri ·
P. Cutrone⚽
13'
ast. P. Cutrone ·
G. Caso⚽
15'
Lorenzo Lucchesi
26'
A. Carboni
/
L. Lucchesi
S. Esposito
/ L. Cherubini
46'
46'
P. Ciurria
/
F. Delli Carri
Nicholas Pierini
52'
56'
A. Petagna
/
G. Caso
56'
L. Colombo
/
P. Obiang
66'
Hernani
/
P. Cutrone
L. Henderson
/ M. Ricci
67'
S. Giordano
/ M. Cicconi
67'
A. Di Pardo
/ F. Depaoli
77'
N. Pierini
/ E. Soleri
82'
85'
ast. A. Bakoune ·
A. Petagna⚽
86'
Andrea Petagna
Pre-match prediction
20.75%
Sampdoria
31.17%
X
48.08%
Monza ←
we assigned to the actual result (Monza)
48.08%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.71
0.73
+0.02
1.37
1.39
+0.02
Monza dominated by xG (1.39 vs 0.73).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
50
G
21
S. Giordano
67'
D
2
M. Viti
D
28
O. Abildgaard
D
29
A. Di Pardo
77'
D
16
L. Henderson
67'
M
L. Henderson
67'
M
94
S. Esposito
45'
M
33
M
77
Nicholas Pierini
82'
F
99
M. Brunori
F
11
T. Begic
F
Bench
72
A. Barák
M
A. Barák
M
17
D. Hadzikadunic
D
92
E. Soleri
8'
F
23
F. Depaoli
13'
D
F. Depaoli
13'
D
10
L. Cherubini
45'
F
7
M. Cicconi
23'
M
13
M. Palma
D
8
M. Ricci
23'
M
20
G
3
L. Lucchesi
26'
D
15
F. Delli Carri
1 👟
45'
D
13
D
19
S. Birindelli
M
32
M. Pessina
M
14
P. Obiang
56'
M
24
A. Bakoune
1 👟
M
30
G. Caso
1 ⚽
56'
F
28
A. Colpani
F
10
P. Cutrone
1 ⚽
1 👟
66'
F
Bench
37
A. Petagna
1 ⚽
34'
F
A. Petagna
1 ⚽
34'
F
47
D. Mota
F
8
Hernani
24'
M
17
K. Baldé
F
K. Baldé
F
26
P. Ciurria
45'
F
Best on the pitch
G · Monza
7.60
· 32 pass
G. Caso
F · Monza
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
P. Cutrone
F · Monza
7.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 13 pass
M. Pessina
M · Monza
7.20
· 47 pass
A. Bakoune
M · Monza
7.20
1 👟
· 20 pass
D · Monza
7.20
· 35 pass
Sampdoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| S. Giordano | D | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Viti | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 64 | 59% | 4 | — | — |
| O. Abildgaard | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 76 | 69% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Di Pardo | D | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 64 | 58% | — | — | — |
| L. Henderson | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Esposito | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — | |
| Nicholas Pierini | F | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Brunori | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 5 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| T. Begic | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 42 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Soleri | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| F. Depaoli | D | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Cherubini | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Cicconi | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Ricci | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
Monza — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| L. Lucchesi | D | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Delli Carri | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 32% | 4 | — | — | |
| S. Birindelli | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Pessina | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Obiang | M | 56 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bakoune | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| G. Caso | F | 56 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Colpani | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Cutrone | F | 66 | 7.30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| A. Petagna | F | 34 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Hernani | M | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Ciurria | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Monza?
The final score was Sampdoria 0–3 Monza.
What did the model predict before Sampdoria vs Monza?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Sampdoria win, 31% to a draw, and 48% to an Monza win.