US Open Cup
· Round of 16
April 29, 2026 04:00
✓Model correct — prediction San Jose Earthquakes
B. Leroux
15'
J. Skahan
68'
B. Leroux
(ast. J. Skahan)
73'
N. Tsakiris
(ast. O. Bouda)
75'
(og)
59'
R. Vieira
63'
(ast. A. Markanich)
T. Chancalay
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Jose Earthquakes a 58% win probability (draw 23%, Minnesota United FC 18%). The final result was San Jose Earthquakes 4–2 Minnesota United FC.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽B. Leroux
15'
R. Vieira
27'
T. Werner
/ J. Skahan
34'
P. Judd
45'
P. Judd
/ P. Marie
46'
59'
(og)
R. Vieira⚽
60'
63'
ast. A. Markanich ·
T. Chancalay⚽
65'
D. Padelford
/
N. Romero
⚽J. Skahan
68'
⚽B. Leroux
· ast. J. Skahan
73'
⚽N. Tsakiris
· ast. O. Bouda
75'
78'
M. Dieng
/
K. Duncan
78'
J. Rodriguez
/
N. Triantis
J. Ricketts
/ D. Romney
82'
B. Kikanovic
/ I. Harkes
83'
89'
M. Gonzalez
/
A. Markanich
Pre-match prediction
58.09%
San ←
23.41%
X
18.5%
Minnesota
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (San Jose Earthquakes)
58.09%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.27
—
—
0.86
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?
The final score was San Jose Earthquakes 4–2 Minnesota United FC.
What did the model predict before San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?
The model assigned 58% probability to a San Jose Earthquakes win, 23% to a draw, and 18% to an Minnesota United FC win.