Sergipe 3–1 Lagarto — pre-match prediction — Brasileirão Série D — April 26, 2026 — ForzaPitch

← Brasileirão Série D

Brasileirão Série D · Regular Season - 4 April 26, 2026 00:00

#1 · 13 pts

3 – 1

Final score

#4 · 5 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sergipe a 36% win probability (draw 30%, Lagarto 32%). The final result was Sergipe 3–1 Lagarto.

Match statistics

Pre-match prediction

36.66%

Sergipe ←

30.91%

X

32.43%

Lagarto

we assigned to the actual result (Sergipe) 36.66% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Sergipe

2.28

—

—

Lagarto

1.72

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	CSA	6	13
1	Nacional AM	6	13
1	Portuguesa	6	11
1	Águia de Marabá	6	12
1	Democrata GV	6	10
1	Iguatu	6	14
1	Joinville	6	11
1	Ferroviario	6	11
1	Blumenau	6	13
1	Gama	6	16
1	Uberlandia	6	15
1	ABC	6	13
1	Sergipe	6	13
1	Araguaína	6	14
1	XV de Piracicaba	6	12
1	Goiatuba EC	6	14
2	Vitória ES	6	9
2	Cascavel	6	11
2	Manauara	6	12
2	Água Santa	6	10
2	Aparecidense	6	10
2	Guaporé	6	14
2	Capital Brasilia	6	13
2	Parnahyba	6	10
2	Marcílio Dias	6	11
2	Treze	5	10
2	Ivinhema	6	11
2	Fluminense PI	6	9
2	Juazeirense	6	12
2	Trem	6	11
2	America-RN	6	11
2	Velo Clube	6	9
3	Ceilândia	6	7
3	Sousa	6	9
3	Imperatriz	6	9
3	Piauí	6	8
3	Porto BA	6	9
3	Primavera MG	6	8
3	Noroeste	6	8
3	Porto Velho	6	10
3	Cianorte	6	9
3	Serra Branca	6	10
3	Sao Raimundo	6	9
3	CRAC	6	8
3	ASA	6	10
3	Portuguesa RJ	6	9
3	Independiente FSJ	6	11
3	Maracanã	6	9
4	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	6	8
4	Maguary PE	6	8
4	Mixto	6	6
4	Tuna Luso	6	6
4	Moto Club	6	8
4	Lagarto	6	5
4	CSE	6	7
4	Tombense	6	9
4	Madureira	6	7
4	Brasil DE Pelotas	6	7
4	São Luiz	6	8
4	Betim	6	8
4	Monte Roraima	6	6
4	Uniclinic Atletico Clube	6	7
4	Luverdense	6	8
4	Galvez	6	7
5	CFRJ / Maricá	6	7
5	União Rondonópolis	6	5
5	Brasiliense	6	7
5	Jacuipense	6	7
5	Altos	6	7
5	Pouso Alegre	6	7
5	Tocantinópolis	6	6
5	Santa Catarina	6	7
5	Sampaio Correa	6	4
5	Central SC	6	8
5	Sao Jose	6	5
5	Manaus FC	6	5
5	Rio Branco ES	6	9
5	Operario Ferroviario	6	3
5	Retrô	6	5
5	Independência	6	5
6	ABECAT Ouvidorense	6	3
6	Nova Iguaçu	6	3
6	Atlético Alagoinhas	6	3
6	Guarany de Bagé	6	4
6	Inhumas	6	0
6	Oratório	6	3
6	Decisão	5	4
6	CEOV Operário	6	4
6	Humaitá	6	0
6	Tirol/CEFAT	6	5
6	Real Noroeste	6	4
6	Laguna	6	1
6	IAPE	6	2
6	América RJ	6	5
6	GAS	6	2
6	Azuriz	6	2

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Sergipe vs Lagarto?

The final score was Sergipe 3–1 Lagarto.

What did the model predict before Sergipe vs Lagarto?

The model assigned 36% probability to a Sergipe win, 30% to a draw, and 32% to an Lagarto win.