La Liga
· Regular Season - 35
May 09, 2026 16:15
Castrin
(ast. D. Sow)
82'
A. Adams
(ast. A. Sanchez)
90'+1
56'
(ast. R. Fernandez Jaen)
T. Dolan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sevilla a 43% win probability (draw 31%, Espanyol 24%). The final result was Sevilla 2–1 Espanyol. In 1 previous meetings, Sevilla have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Espanyol.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
5
1.50
Actual xG
0.41
4
Saves
4
64%
Possession
36%
4
Corners
6
20
Tackles
12
5
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
26'
U. Gonzalez
I. Romero
/ A. Sanchez
46'
46'
56'
ast. R. Fernandez Jaen ·
T. Dolan⚽
L. Agoume
/ D. Sow
58'
J. A. Carmona
61'
G. Suazo
/ Oso
64'
J. A. Carmona
/ J. Sanchez
64'
66'
C. Pickel
/
R. Sanchez
73'
T. Dolan
R. Vargas
73'
D. Sow
73'
75'
J. Salinas
/
C. Romero
75'
Jofre
/
R. Terrats
R. Vargas
/ A. Adams
75'
⚽Castrin
· ast. D. Sow
82'
83'
K. Garcia
/
R. Fernandez Jaen
83'
P. Lozano
/
Exposito
90'+1
O. El Hilali
⚽A. Adams
· ast. A. Sanchez
90'+1
A. Adams
90'+2
90'+9
F. Calero
Castrin
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
43.31%
Sevilla ←
31.89%
X
24.8%
Espanyol
we assigned to the actual result (Sevilla)
43.31%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.00
1.50
+0.51
0.69
0.41
-0.28
Sevilla dominated by xG (1.50 vs 0.41).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
12
Gabriel Suazo
64'
D
Gabriel Suazo
64'
D
4
Kike Salas
D
Kike Salas
D
32
Andres Castrin
1 ⚽
D
Andres Castrin
1 ⚽
D
2
José Ángel Carmona
64'
D
José Ángel Carmona
64'
D
21
C. Ejuke
M
C. Ejuke
M
6
Nemanja Gudelj
M
Nemanja Gudelj
M
18
L. Agoumé
58'
M
L. Agoumé
58'
M
11
R. Vargas
75'
M
R. Vargas
75'
M
7
I. Romero
45'
F
17
Neal Maupay
F
Neal Maupay
F
Bench
9
A. Adams
1 ⚽
26'
F
A. Adams
1 ⚽
26'
F
10
Alexis Sánchez
1 👟
56'
F
Alexis Sánchez
1 👟
56'
F
19
Batista Mendy
M
Batista Mendy
M
20
Djibril Sow
1 👟
43'
M
Djibril Sow
1 👟
43'
M
16
Juanlu Sánchez
37'
M
Juanlu Sánchez
37'
M
13
Ørjan Nyland
G
Ørjan Nyland
G
36
Oso
37'
D
Oso
37'
D
14
Peque Fernández
F
Peque Fernández
F
5
Tanguy Nianzou
D
Tanguy Nianzou
D
13
G
22
Carlos Romero
75'
D
Carlos Romero
75'
D
6
Leandro Cabrera
D
Leandro Cabrera
D
5
F. Calero
D
23
O. El Hilali
D
O. El Hilali
D
8
Edu Expósito
83'
M
Edu Expósito
83'
M
4
Urko González
M
Urko González
M
24
T. Dolan
1 ⚽
M
14
Ramón Terrats
75'
M
Ramón Terrats
75'
M
2
Rubén Sánchez
66'
M
Rubén Sánchez
66'
M
9
Roberto Fernández
1 👟
83'
F
Roberto Fernández
1 👟
83'
F
Bench
38
Clemens Riedel
D
Clemens Riedel
D
19
Kike García
18'
F
Kike García
18'
F
11
Pere Milla
M
Pere Milla
M
10
Pol Lozano
18'
M
Pol Lozano
18'
M
Best on the pitch
Andres Castrin
D · Sevilla
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 61 pass
A. Adams
F · Sevilla
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
G · Sevilla
7.50
· 18 pass
T. Dolan
M · Espanyol
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 7 pass
Edu Expósito
M · Espanyol
7.20
1 shots
· 18 pass
C. Ejuke
M · Sevilla
7.20
· 31 pass
Sevilla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 101 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Gabriel Suazo | D | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 32% | 4 | — | — |
| Kike Salas | D | 101 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Andres Castrin | D | 101 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 61 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| José Ángel Carmona | D | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Ejuke | M | 101 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Nemanja Gudelj | M | 101 | 6.50 | — | — | 4 | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| L. Agoumé | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Vargas | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Romero | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Neal Maupay | F | 101 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Adams | F | 26 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Alexis Sánchez | F | 56 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Djibril Sow | M | 43 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Juanlu Sánchez | M | 37 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Oso | D | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
Espanyol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 101 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| Carlos Romero | D | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Leandro Cabrera | D | 101 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Calero | D | 101 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| O. El Hilali | D | 101 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 13% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Edu Expósito | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| Urko González | M | 101 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Dolan | M | 101 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Ramón Terrats | M | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Rubén Sánchez | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Roberto Fernández | F | 83 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Kike García | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Pol Lozano | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sevilla vs Espanyol?
The final score was Sevilla 2–1 Espanyol.
What did the model predict before Sevilla vs Espanyol?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Sevilla win, 31% to a draw, and 24% to an Espanyol win.