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Shonan Bellmare - Vegalta Sendai

J2 League May 16, 2026 07:00
#2 · 31 pts
vs
#1 · 40 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
18.06%
Win
Shonan Bellmare
19.87%
Draw
62.07%
Win
Vegalta Sendai
0.85
Expected xG
2.08
Model prediction
Vegalta Sendai
62.07%
Probability

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Vegalta Sendai a 62% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Shonan Bellmare. Expected goals are 0.8 for Shonan Bellmare and 2.1 for Vegalta Sendai (total 2.9), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–2 at 11.6% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Shonan Bellmare have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Vegalta Sendai.

Score Matrix
↕ Shonan Bellmare Vegalta Sendai →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3% 11.1% 11.6% 8.0% 4.2% 1.7%
1 4.5% 9.4% 9.8% 6.8% 3.5% 1.5%
2 1.9% 4.0% 4.2% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6%
3 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5
Recent form
L Yokohama FC 0–1
W Vanraure Hachinohe 0–1
L Tochigi City 1–2
D Tochigi SC 1–1
D Sagamihara 1–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 26%
D Vanraure Hachinohe 1–1
W Tochigi SC 2–1
L Blaublitz Akita 1–3
W Thespakusatsu Gunma 1–3
W Montedio Yamagata 1–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 40%
Playing profile
Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare
Attack
22
Defence
75
Form
46
Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai
Attack
52
Defence
75
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Shonan Bellmare
1
Draw
0
Vegalta Sendai
D 7 Mar 2026 J2 League 1–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 16 37
1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 16 32
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 16 43
1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 16 40
2 Kochi United Kochi United 16 30
2 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 16 31
2 Iwaki Iwaki 16 28
2 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 16 30
3 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 16 28
3 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita 16 29
3 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 16 27
3 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 16 29
4 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 16 26
4 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 16 27
4 Sagamihara Sagamihara 16 27
4 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 16 28
5 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 16 25
5 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 16 26
5 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 16 23
5 Ehime FC Ehime FC 16 25
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma Thespakusatsu Gunma 16 20
6 FC Gifu FC Gifu 16 27
6 Kanazawa Kanazawa 16 22
6 Gainare Tottori Gainare Tottori 16 22
7 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 16 23
7 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 16 21
7 Imabari Imabari 16 19
7 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 16 19
8 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 16 17
8 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 16 22
8 Nara Club Nara Club 16 18
8 Biwako Shiga Biwako Shiga 16 16
9 Osaka Osaka 16 17
9 Fukushima United Fukushima United 16 16
9 Tochigi City Tochigi City 16 18
9 Kitakyushu Kitakyushu 16 15
10 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 16 15
10 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 16 11
10 FC Ryukyu FC Ryukyu 16 15
10 Vanraure Hachinohe Vanraure Hachinohe 16 16
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai?
The model gives Shonan Bellmare a 18% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 62% for an Vegalta Sendai win.
How many goals are expected in Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai?
Expected goals: Shonan Bellmare 0.8, Vegalta Sendai 2.1 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai?
0–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.6%.