Shonan Bellmare - Vegalta Sendai
J2 League
May 16, 2026 07:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
18.06%
Win
Shonan Bellmare
19.87%
Draw
62.07%
Win
Vegalta Sendai
0.85
2.08
Expected xG
Model prediction
Vegalta Sendai
62.07%
Probability
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Vegalta Sendai a 62% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Shonan Bellmare. Expected goals are 0.8 for Shonan Bellmare and 2.1 for Vegalta Sendai (total 2.9), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–2 at 11.6% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Shonan Bellmare have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Vegalta Sendai.
Score Matrix
↕ Shonan Bellmare
Vegalta Sendai →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| 2 | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Shonan Bellmare
Attack
22
Defence
75
Form
46
Vegalta Sendai
Attack
52
Defence
75
Form
68
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
D
7 Mar 2026
1–1
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kataller Toyama
|
16 | 37 |
| 1 |
Ventforet Kofu
|
16 | 32 |
| 1 |
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
|
16 | 43 |
| 1 |
Vegalta Sendai
|
16 | 40 |
| 2 |
Kochi United
|
16 | 30 |
| 2 |
Shonan Bellmare
|
16 | 31 |
| 2 |
Iwaki
|
16 | 28 |
| 2 |
Sagan Tosu
|
16 | 30 |
| 3 |
Consadole Sapporo
|
16 | 28 |
| 3 |
Blaublitz Akita
|
16 | 29 |
| 3 |
Kagoshima United
|
16 | 27 |
| 3 |
Albirex Niigata
|
16 | 29 |
| 4 |
Renofa Yamaguchi
|
16 | 26 |
| 4 |
Omiya Ardija
|
16 | 27 |
| 4 |
Sagamihara
|
16 | 27 |
| 4 |
Tokushima Vortis
|
16 | 28 |
| 5 |
Roasso Kumamoto
|
16 | 25 |
| 5 |
Fujieda MYFC
|
16 | 26 |
| 5 |
Yokohama FC
|
16 | 23 |
| 5 |
Ehime FC
|
16 | 25 |
| 6 |
Thespakusatsu Gunma
|
16 | 20 |
| 6 |
FC Gifu
|
16 | 27 |
| 6 |
Kanazawa
|
16 | 22 |
| 6 |
Gainare Tottori
|
16 | 22 |
| 7 |
Matsumoto Yamaga
|
16 | 23 |
| 7 |
Oita Trinita
|
16 | 21 |
| 7 |
Imabari
|
16 | 19 |
| 7 |
Montedio Yamagata
|
16 | 19 |
| 8 |
Tochigi SC
|
16 | 17 |
| 8 |
Jubilo Iwata
|
16 | 22 |
| 8 |
Nara Club
|
16 | 18 |
| 8 |
Biwako Shiga
|
16 | 16 |
| 9 |
Osaka
|
16 | 17 |
| 9 |
Fukushima United
|
16 | 16 |
| 9 |
Tochigi City
|
16 | 18 |
| 9 |
Kitakyushu
|
16 | 15 |
| 10 |
Kamatamare Sanuki
|
16 | 15 |
| 10 |
Parceiro Nagano
|
16 | 11 |
| 10 |
FC Ryukyu
|
16 | 15 |
| 10 |
Vanraure Hachinohe
|
16 | 16 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai?
The model gives Shonan Bellmare a 18% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 62% for an Vegalta Sendai win.
How many goals are expected in Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai?
Expected goals: Shonan Bellmare 0.8, Vegalta Sendai 2.1 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai?
0–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.6%.