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Ska-khabarovsk - FK Neftekhimik

First League May 16, 2026 09:00
Ska-khabarovsk
#13 · 39 pts
vs
FK Neftekhimik
#11 · 43 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 9.8°C 💨 10 km/h 🌧️ 65% · Khabarovsk
⚡ Pre-match analysis
21.2%
Win
Ska-khabarovsk
30.26%
Draw
48.54%
Win
FK Neftekhimik
0.77
Expected xG
1.52

The ForzaPitch prediction gives FK Neftekhimik a 48% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Ska-khabarovsk. Expected goals are 0.8 for Ska-khabarovsk and 1.5 for FK Neftekhimik (total 2.3), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 15.4% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Ska-khabarovsk have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FK Neftekhimik.

Score Matrix
↕ Ska-khabarovsk FK Neftekhimik →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2% 15.4% 11.7% 5.9% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.8% 11.9% 9.0% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 3.0% 4.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 — — — — — —
Recent form
Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk
D Fakel 0–0
L Shinnik Yaroslavl 3–0
L Spartak Kostroma 3–0
L Rotor Volgograd 1–2
D Chelyabinsk 2–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 16%
FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik
D Volga Ulyanovsk 2–2
L Chelyabinsk 2–0
L Enisey 2–0
W Chernomorets 4–0
W Spartak Kostroma 3–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 30%
Playing profile
Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk
Attack
18
Defence
45
Form
26
FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik
Attack
32
Defence
62
Form
38
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Ska-khabarovsk
1
Draw
0
FK Neftekhimik
D 3 Nov 2025 First League 1–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 33 65
2 Fakel Fakel 33 65
3 Ural Ural 33 61
4 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 33 53
5 KAMAZ KAMAZ 33 49
6 Enisey Enisey 33 49
7 Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma 33 49
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl 33 47
9 Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva 33 43
10 Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk 33 43
11 FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik 33 43
12 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 33 39
13 Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk 33 39
14 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk 33 37
15 FC UFA FC UFA 33 34
16 Chernomorets Chernomorets 33 32
17 FK Sokol Saratov FK Sokol Saratov 33 23
18 Chayka Chayka 33 22
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ska-khabarovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
The model gives Ska-khabarovsk a 21% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 48% for an FK Neftekhimik win.
How many goals are expected in Ska-khabarovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
Expected goals: Ska-khabarovsk 0.8, FK Neftekhimik 1.5 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Ska-khabarovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.4%.