Superliga
· Championship Group - 28
April 23, 2026 22:00
M. Hoppe
(ast. T. Sommer)
40'
24'
E. Chilufya
(og)
49'
D. L. Gretarsson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Midtjylland a 49% win probability (draw 25%, Sonderjyske 25%). The final result was Sonderjyske 1–2 FC Midtjylland. In 3 previous meetings, Sonderjyske have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for FC Midtjylland.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
4
0.74
Actual xG
1.36
3
Saves
3
40%
Possession
60%
3
Corners
8
22
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
24'
E. Chilufya⚽
⚽M. Hoppe
· ast. T. Sommer
40'
M. Hoppe
45'+1
46'
V. Bak
/
Paulinho
48'
Lee Han-Beom
49'
(og)
D. L. Gretarsson⚽
59'
P. Billing
/
E. Chilufya
M. Hoppe
/ L. Qamili
67'
A. Lyng
/ T. Klysner
68'
G. Duru
/ D. Wilkins
72'
A. Oggesen
/ A. Pedersen
72'
77'
K. Mbabu
/
D. Osorio
78'
P. Billing
T. Norgaard
85'
S. Emini
/ E. Hjort- Pedersen
87'
89'
M. Gogorza
/
A. Simsir
90'+3
K. Mbabu
90'+5
M. Gogorza
Pre-match prediction
25.68%
Sonderjyske
25.32%
X
49.0%
FC ←
we assigned to the actual result (FC Midtjylland)
49.0%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.19
0.74
-0.45
1.78
1.36
-0.41
FC Midtjylland dominated by xG (1.36 vs 0.74).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
27
G
23
G. Duru
72'
D
4
D. L. Gretarsson
1 ⚽
D
12
D
22
A. Oggesen
72'
D
26
1 👟
M
6
M
24
O. Hyseni
M
O. Hyseni
M
7
S. Emini
87'
M
11
Alexander Lyng
68'
M
9
M. Hoppe
1 ⚽
67'
F
M. Hoppe
1 ⚽
67'
F
Bench
13
Dalton Wilkins
18'
D
15
Lirim Qamili
23'
F
19
Pachanga Kristensen
D
20
T. Klysner
22'
F
16
G
22
Mads Bech Sørensen
D
Mads Bech Sørensen
D
6
M. Erlić
D
M. Erlić
D
3
Han-Beom Lee
D
Han-Beom Lee
D
29
Paulinho
45'
M
Paulinho
45'
M
19
Pedro Bravo
M
Pedro Bravo
M
21
D. Castillo
M
D. Castillo
M
11
D. Osorio
77'
M
D. Osorio
77'
M
58
A. Şimşir
89'
F
A. Şimşir
89'
F
14
Edward Chilufya
1 ⚽
59'
F
Edward Chilufya
1 ⚽
59'
F
10
Gue-sung Cho
F
Gue-sung Cho
F
Bench
7
Franculino Djú
F
Franculino Djú
F
38
J. Emefile
F
43
K. Mbabu
13'
D
K. Mbabu
13'
D
41
Mikel Gogorza
9'
F
Mikel Gogorza
9'
F
8
P. Billing
31'
M
P. Billing
31'
M
20
Valdemar Byskov
M
Valdemar Byskov
M
55
Victor Bak Jensen
45'
D
Victor Bak Jensen
45'
D
Best on the pitch
M. Hoppe
F · Sonderjyske
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
M · Sonderjyske
7.20
1 👟
· 31 pass
Dalton Wilkins
D · Sonderjyske
7.20
· 9 pass
O. Hyseni
M · Sonderjyske
7.20
2 shots
· 24 pass
Edward Chilufya
F · FC
7.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 6 pass
A. Şimşir
F · FC
7.00
· 31 pass
Sonderjyske — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| G. Duru | D | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| D. L. Gretarsson | D | 90 | 5.90 | 1 | — | — | 45 | 32% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| A. Oggesen | D | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 21% | 2 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| O. Hyseni | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Emini | M | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 4 | — | — |
| Alexander Lyng | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Hoppe | F | 67 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Dalton Wilkins | D | 18 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Lirim Qamili | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| T. Klysner | F | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
FC Midtjylland — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Mads Bech Sørensen | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Erlić | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 62 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Han-Beom Lee | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 64 | 54% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Paulinho | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Bravo | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Castillo | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Osorio | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 28 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Şimşir | F | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Edward Chilufya | F | 59 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Gue-sung Cho | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Mbabu | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mikel Gogorza | F | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Billing | M | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Victor Bak Jensen | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland?
The final score was Sonderjyske 1–2 FC Midtjylland.
What did the model predict before Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Sonderjyske win, 25% to a draw, and 49% to an FC Midtjylland win.