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Spartak Kostroma - FC UFA

First League May 16, 2026 12:00
Spartak Kostroma
#7 · 49 pts
vs
FC UFA
#15 · 34 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.21%
Win
Spartak Kostroma
34.92%
Draw
15.87%
Win
FC UFA
1.18
Expected xG
0.48

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Spartak Kostroma a 49% win probability, against 34% for a draw and 15% for FC UFA. Expected goals are 1.2 for Spartak Kostroma and 0.5 for FC UFA (total 1.7), with a 66% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 22.4% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Spartak Kostroma have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FC UFA.

Score Matrix
↕ Spartak Kostroma FC UFA →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 19.0% 9.2% 2.2% 0.4% — —
1 22.4% 10.8% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% —
2 13.2% 6.4% 1.5% 0.2% — —
3 5.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% — —
4 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% — — —
5 0.4% 0.2% — — — —
Recent form
Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma
D FK Sokol Saratov 1–1
L KAMAZ 2–0
D Arsenal Tula 1–1
W Ska-khabarovsk 3–0
L FK Neftekhimik 3–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 22%
FC UFA FC UFA
W Rotor Volgograd 1–0
L Rodina Moskva 1–0
L KAMAZ 0–1
W Chernomorets 1–0
D Ural 0–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 24%
Playing profile
Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma
Attack
31
Defence
69
Form
52
FC UFA FC UFA
Attack
15
Defence
85
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Spartak Kostroma
1
Draw
0
FC UFA
D 4 Oct 2025 First League 0–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 33 65
2 Fakel Fakel 33 65
3 Ural Ural 33 61
4 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 33 53
5 KAMAZ KAMAZ 33 49
6 Enisey Enisey 33 49
7 Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma 33 49
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl Shinnik Yaroslavl 33 47
9 Torpedo Moskva Torpedo Moskva 33 43
10 Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk 33 43
11 FK Neftekhimik FK Neftekhimik 33 43
12 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 33 39
13 Ska-khabarovsk Ska-khabarovsk 33 39
14 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk 33 37
15 FC UFA FC UFA 33 34
16 Chernomorets Chernomorets 33 32
17 FK Sokol Saratov FK Sokol Saratov 33 23
18 Chayka Chayka 33 22
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?
The model gives Spartak Kostroma a 49% win probability, 34% for a draw, and 15% for an FC UFA win.
How many goals are expected in Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?
Expected goals: Spartak Kostroma 1.2, FC UFA 0.5 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 66%.
What is the most likely score in Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 22.4%.