← Regionalliga - West

Sportfreunde Siegen - SSVg Velbert

Regionalliga - West May 16, 2026 14:00
Sportfreunde Siegen
#7 · 52 pts
vs
SSVg Velbert
#18 · 25 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 10.8°C 💨 11 km/h · Siegen
⚡ Pre-match analysis
58.87%
Win
Sportfreunde Siegen
21.73%
Draw
19.4%
Win
SSVg Velbert
1.78
Expected xG
0.95
Model prediction
Sportfreunde Siegen
58.87%
Probability
40.0%
1X2 accuracy · 10 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sportfreunde Siegen a 58% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 19% for SSVg Velbert. Expected goals are 1.8 for Sportfreunde Siegen and 0.9 for SSVg Velbert (total 2.7), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.6% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Sportfreunde Siegen have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for SSVg Velbert.

Score Matrix
↕ Sportfreunde Siegen SSVg Velbert →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5% 6.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% —
1 11.6% 11.0% 5.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.8% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.2% 5.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% —
4 2.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% — —
Recent form
Sportfreunde Siegen Sportfreunde Siegen
L Fortuna Köln 2–1
L Bonner SC 1–2
W Wiedenbrück 2–3
D Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0–0
W FC Gutersloh 5–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 26%
SSVg Velbert SSVg Velbert
L Paderborn II 1–3
L Wiedenbrück 1–0
D Köln II 3–3
L Borussia Dortmund II 1–2
W Schalke 04 II 1–3
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 40%
Playing profile
Sportfreunde Siegen Sportfreunde Siegen
Attack
38
Defence
62
Form
46
SSVg Velbert SSVg Velbert
Attack
32
Defence
53
Form
34
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Sportfreunde Siegen
1
Draw
0
SSVg Velbert
D 28 Nov 2025 Regionalliga - West 2–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 33 69
2 Rot-weiss Oberhausen Rot-weiss Oberhausen 33 65
3 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II 33 58
4 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 33 58
5 Borussia M'gladbach II Borussia M'gladbach II 33 58
6 FC Gutersloh FC Gutersloh 33 56
7 Sportfreunde Siegen Sportfreunde Siegen 33 52
8 Köln II Köln II 33 45
9 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 33 44
10 Paderborn II Paderborn II 33 43
11 Bonner SC Bonner SC 33 43
12 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 33 39
13 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt 33 38
14 Bochum II Bochum II 33 38
15 SV Rodinghausen SV Rodinghausen 33 29
16 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 33 26
17 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV 33 26
18 SSVg Velbert SSVg Velbert 33 25
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sportfreunde Siegen vs SSVg Velbert?
The model gives Sportfreunde Siegen a 58% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 19% for an SSVg Velbert win.
How many goals are expected in Sportfreunde Siegen vs SSVg Velbert?
Expected goals: Sportfreunde Siegen 1.8, SSVg Velbert 0.9 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Sportfreunde Siegen vs SSVg Velbert?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.6%.