← Scottish Premiership
Scottish Premiership · Relegation Group - 34 April 25, 2026 18:00
ST Mirren
#5 · 33 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Livingston
#6 · 21 pts
(og) 67' A. Gogic
81' (ast. L. Smith) S. Pittman

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave ST Mirren a 42% win probability (draw 34%, Livingston 23%). The final result was ST Mirren 0–2 Livingston. In 4 previous meetings, ST Mirren have won 1 times, with 3 draws and 0 wins for Livingston.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
2
1.22
Actual xG
0.80
1
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
8
Corners
7
12
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
A. Gogic
31'
40'
C. Montano / B. Fati ↕
A. Campbell
47'
↕ J. Ayunga / J. Young
54'
↕ R. King / R. Idowu
56'
58'
M. Sylla
64'
M. Tait / S. May ↕
64'
S. Pittman / S. Arfield ↕
64'
R. Muirhead / J. Nouble ↕
67'
(og) A. Gogic⚽
71'
R. Muirhead
↕ A. Campbell / J. Richardson
72'
↕ J. Devaney / C. McMenamin
72'
76'
C. Kerr / D. Finlayson ↕
81'
ast. L. Smith · S. Pittman⚽
↕ D. John / S. Tanser
82'
Pre-match prediction
42.67%
ST
34.23%
X
23.11%
Livingston ←
we assigned to the actual result (Livingston) 23.11% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
ST
0.99
1.22
+0.23
Livingston
0.71
0.80
+0.09
ST Mirren dominated by xG (1.22 vs 0.80). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 33 70
1 Heart Of Midlothian Heart Of Midlothian 37 80
1 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 37 44
2 Rangers Rangers 33 69
2 Celtic Celtic 37 79
2 Aberdeen Aberdeen 37 40
3 Dundee Dundee 37 39
3 Celtic Celtic 33 67
3 Rangers Rangers 37 69
4 Motherwell Motherwell 37 58
4 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 37 37
4 Motherwell Motherwell 33 54
5 ST Mirren ST Mirren 37 33
5 Hibernian Hibernian 33 51
5 Hibernian Hibernian 37 57
6 Livingston Livingston 37 21
6 Falkirk Falkirk 33 46
6 Falkirk Falkirk 37 49
7 Dundee Utd Dundee Utd 33 40
8 Aberdeen Aberdeen 33 33
9 Dundee Dundee 33 33
10 ST Mirren ST Mirren 33 30
11 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 33 28
12 Livingston Livingston 33 16
Lineups
ST Mirren ST Mirren 3-4-1-2
27
G 6.20
21 Miguel Freckleton Miguel Freckleton D 7.50
13 Alexander Gogić Alexander Gogić 1 ⚽ D 6.30
5 Richard King Richard King 56' D 6.50
24 D. John D. John 82' M 6.90
16 Allan Campbell Allan Campbell 73' M 7.00
8 Jacob Devaney Jacob Devaney 73' M 6.90
6
M 6.90
88 Killian Phillips Killian Phillips F 7.30
11
J. Ayunga 56' F 6.20
9 Mikael Mandron Mikael Mandron F 6.70
Bench
10
C. McMenamin 26' F 6.90
7 Roland Idowu Roland Idowu 43' M 6.60
3 Scott Tanser Scott Tanser 17' D 7.30
Livingston Livingston 3-4-2-1
28
G 8.30
5
D 7.20
27 Danny Wilson Danny Wilson D 7.00
23 Brooklyn Kabongolo Brooklyn Kabongolo D 7.50
3 Babacar Fati Babacar Fati 40' M 6.90
37
S. Arfield 64' M 6.60
24 Mohamad Sylla Mohamad Sylla M 6.60
19 Danny Finlayson Danny Finlayson 77' M 7.00
17 Stevie May Stevie May 64' F 6.90
15 Lewis Smith Lewis Smith 1 👟 F 6.70
7
64' F 6.90
Bench
10 Barrie McKay Barrie McKay M
26 Cristian Montaño Cristian Montaño 59' D 7.20
25 Macaulay Tait Macaulay Tait 35' M 6.30
9 Robbie Muirhead Robbie Muirhead 35' F 7.20
8 Scott Pittman Scott Pittman 1 ⚽ 35' F 7.50
Best on the pitch
G · Livingston
8.30
· 34 pass
Scott Pittman
Scott Pittman
F · Livingston
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 4 pass
Brooklyn Kabongolo
Brooklyn Kabongolo
D · Livingston
7.50
1 shots · 23 pass
Miguel Freckleton
Miguel Freckleton
D · ST
7.50
· 85 pass
Killian Phillips
Killian Phillips
F · ST
7.30
1 shots · 23 pass
Scott Tanser
Scott Tanser
D · ST
7.30
· 12 pass
ST Mirren ST Mirren — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 99 6.20 — — — 16 10% — — —
Miguel Freckleton D 99 7.50 — — — 85 78% 2 — —
Alexander Gogić D 99 6.30 1 — 2 78 70% 5 1 —
Richard King D 56 6.50 — — 2 28 20% 1 — —
D. John M 82 6.90 — — 1 39 34% — — —
Allan Campbell M 73 7.00 — — 2 32 30% 2 1 —
Jacob Devaney M 73 6.90 — — — 54 50% 1 — —
M 99 6.90 — — 2 42 33% — — —
Killian Phillips F 99 7.30 — — 1 23 16% — — —
J. Ayunga F 56 6.20 — — 1 18 15% — — —
Mikael Mandron F 99 6.70 — — 1 22 18% — — —
C. McMenamin F 26 6.90 — — — 23 19% — — —
Roland Idowu M 43 6.60 — — 1 18 15% 1 — —
Scott Tanser D 17 7.30 — — — 12 11% — — —
Livingston Livingston — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 99 8.30 — — — 34 21% — — —
D 99 7.20 — — — 24 18% 1 — —
Danny Wilson D 99 7.00 — — — 28 21% 1 — —
Brooklyn Kabongolo D 99 7.50 — — 1 23 18% 1 — —
Babacar Fati M 40 6.90 — — — 16 14% 2 — —
S. Arfield M 64 6.60 — — — 16 13% — — —
Mohamad Sylla M 99 6.60 — — — 25 20% 1 1 —
Danny Finlayson M 77 7.00 — — — 23 20% 1 — —
Stevie May F 64 6.90 — — 1 25 16% — — —
Lewis Smith F 99 6.70 — 1 — 23 17% 3 — —
F 64 6.90 — — — 12 9% — — —
Cristian Montaño D 59 7.20 — — — 20 15% 1 — —
Macaulay Tait M 35 6.30 — — — 13 11% — — —
Robbie Muirhead F 35 7.20 — — — 12 8% — 1 —
Scott Pittman F 35 7.50 1 — 1 4 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of ST Mirren vs Livingston?
The final score was ST Mirren 0–2 Livingston.
What did the model predict before ST Mirren vs Livingston?
The model assigned 42% probability to a ST Mirren win, 34% to a draw, and 23% to an Livingston win.