St. Truiden - Gent
Pro League
May 16, 2026 20:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
53.69%
Win
St. Truiden
21.95%
Draw
24.36%
Win
Gent
1.86
1.17
Expected xG
The ForzaPitch prediction gives St. Truiden a 53% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Gent. Expected goals are 1.9 for St. Truiden and 1.2 for Gent (total 3.0), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.5% probability. In 3 previous meetings, St. Truiden have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Gent.
Score Matrix
↕ St. Truiden
Gent →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
St. Truiden
Attack
37
Defence
61
Form
53
Gent
Attack
29
Defence
64
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Zulte Waregem
|
36 | 48 |
| 1 |
Genk
|
37 | 33 |
| 1 |
Club Brugge KV
|
37 | 50 |
| 2 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
37 | 49 |
| 2 |
Cercle Brugge
|
36 | 41 |
| 2 |
Standard Liege
|
37 | 33 |
| 3 |
St. Truiden
|
37 | 39 |
| 3 |
RAAL La Louvière
|
36 | 34 |
| 3 |
Charleroi
|
37 | 30 |
| 4 |
Dender
|
36 | 25 |
| 4 |
Anderlecht
|
37 | 29 |
| 4 |
KVC Westerlo
|
37 | 30 |
| 5 |
Gent
|
37 | 27 |
| 5 |
Antwerp
|
37 | 27 |
| 6 |
KV Mechelen
|
37 | 27 |
| 6 |
OH Leuven
|
37 | 19 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win St. Truiden vs Gent?
The model gives St. Truiden a 53% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 24% for an Gent win.
How many goals are expected in St. Truiden vs Gent?
Expected goals: St. Truiden 1.9, Gent 1.2 (total 3.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in St. Truiden vs Gent?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.5%.