Stenhousemuir - Alloa Athletic

Scottish Championship May 16, 2026 18:30

Stenhousemuir

18:30

vs

Alloa Athletic

Weather at kick-off 🌦️ Light drizzle 11.9°C 💨 14 km/h 🌧️ 23% · Stenhousemuir

⚡ Pre-match analysis

39.7%

Win

Stenhousemuir

29.99%

Draw

30.31%

Win

Alloa Athletic

2.61

Expected xG

1.38

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Stenhousemuir a 39% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Alloa Athletic. Expected goals are 2.6 for Stenhousemuir and 1.4 for Alloa Athletic (total 4.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.7% probability. In 5 previous meetings, Stenhousemuir have won 2 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Alloa Athletic.

Score Matrix

↕ Stenhousemuir Alloa Athletic →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	1.8%	2.6%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%
1	4.8%	6.7%	4.6%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
2	6.3%	8.7%	6.0%	2.8%	1.0%	0.3%
3	5.5%	7.6%	5.2%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%
4	3.6%	4.9%	3.4%	1.6%	0.5%	0.2%
5	1.9%	2.6%	1.8%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Recent form

Stenhousemuir

W Alloa Athletic 1–3

D Queen of the South 2–2

D Queen of the South 1–1

Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 41%

Alloa Athletic

L Stenhousemuir 1–3

W Airdrie United 1–2

W Airdrie United 1–0

Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 24%

Playing profile

Stenhousemuir

Attack

50

Defence

67

Form

58

Alloa Athletic

Attack

33

Defence

66

Form

61

Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

2

Stenhousemuir

2

Draw

1

Alloa Athletic

W 13 May 2026 Scottish Championship 3–1

W 25 Apr 2026 Scottish League One 1–0

D 27 Dec 2025 Scottish League One 0–0

D 25 Oct 2025 Scottish League One 0–0

L 2 Aug 2025 Scottish League One 1–2

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	ST Johnstone	36	77
2	Partick	36	66
3	Arbroath	36	52
4	Dunfermline	36	51
5	Raith Rovers	36	45
6	Queen's Park	36	41
7	Ayr Utd	36	39
8	Morton	36	38
9	Airdrie United	36	36
10	Ross County	36	34