League One
· Regular Season - 46
May 02, 2026 16:00
D. Sweeney
90'+2
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Stevenage a 47% win probability (draw 32%, Wigan 19%). The final result was Stevenage 1–0 Wigan. In 1 previous meetings, Stevenage have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Wigan.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
5
5
Saves
4
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
2
11
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
45'+1
J. Taylor
58'
H. Bettoni
/
C. Saydee
L. Thompson
/ D. Phillips
68'
79'
C. Vickers
/
C. Wright
80'
D. Costelloe
/
J. Taylor
J. Pattenden
/ L. James-Wildin
85'
J. Roberts
/ P. Patterson
85'
M. Phillips
/ D. Sweeney
85'
S. Earley
/ D. Butler
85'
⚽D. Sweeney
90'+2
90'+3
C. McManaman
/
F. Murray
D. Kemp
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
47.43%
Stevenage ←
32.67%
X
19.9%
Wigan
we assigned to the actual result (Stevenage)
47.43%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.00
—
—
0.60
—
—
Lineups
1
G
14
Saxon Earley
85'
D
Saxon Earley
85'
D
5
C. Piergianni
D
C. Piergianni
D
15
C. Goode
D
C. Goode
D
17
Jasper Pattenden
85'
D
Jasper Pattenden
85'
D
11
Jordan Roberts
85'
M
Jordan Roberts
85'
M
18
H. White
M
H. White
M
23
Louis Thompson
68'
M
Louis Thompson
68'
M
10
Daniel Kemp
M
Daniel Kemp
M
19
J. Reid
F
J. Reid
F
25
Matt Phillips
85'
F
Matt Phillips
85'
F
Bench
6
Dan Sweeney
1 ⚽
13'
D
Dan Sweeney
1 ⚽
13'
D
8
D. Phillips
30'
M
D. Phillips
30'
M
2
Luther James-Wildin
13'
D
Luther James-Wildin
13'
D
1
G
4
W. Aimson
D
15
J. Kerr
D
23
James Carragher
D
7
F. Murray
M
F. Murray
M
17
M. Smith
M
6
Jensen Weir
M
21
R. Borges Rodrigues
M
8
C. Wright
79'
F
9
C. Saydee
58'
F
10
Joe Taylor
80'
F
Bench
11
D. Costelloe
18'
F
43
H. Bettoni
40'
F
Best on the pitch
C. Goode
D · Stevenage
8.30
2 shots
· 26 pass
H. White
M · Stevenage
8.20
· 37 pass
G · Wigan
7.50
· 31 pass
Saxon Earley
D · Stevenage
7.30
· 33 pass
C. Piergianni
D · Stevenage
7.30
1 shots
· 27 pass
Jensen Weir
M · Wigan
7.20
· 40 pass
Stevenage — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 9% | 1 | — | — | |
| Saxon Earley | D | 85 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Piergianni | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | — | — | — |
| C. Goode | D | 98 | 8.30 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Jasper Pattenden | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Jordan Roberts | M | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | — | — | — |
| H. White | M | 98 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Louis Thompson | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Kemp | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Reid | F | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Matt Phillips | F | 85 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Dan Sweeney | D | 13 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| D. Phillips | M | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Luther James-Wildin | D | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Wigan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| W. Aimson | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Kerr | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| James Carragher | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Murray | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Smith | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Jensen Weir | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 27% | — | — | — |
| R. Borges Rodrigues | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 12% | — | — | — |
| C. Wright | F | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 18% | — | — | — |
| C. Saydee | F | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Joe Taylor | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Costelloe | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| H. Bettoni | F | 40 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stevenage vs Wigan?
The final score was Stevenage 1–0 Wigan.
What did the model predict before Stevenage vs Wigan?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Stevenage win, 32% to a draw, and 19% to an Wigan win.