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Tammeka - Nõmme United

Meistriliiga May 15, 2026 18:00
#7 · 13 pts
vs
#6 · 13 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.32%
Win
Tammeka
26.31%
Draw
31.38%
Win
Nõmme United
1.59
Expected xG
1.32

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Tammeka a 42% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Nõmme United. Expected goals are 1.6 for Tammeka and 1.3 for Nõmme United (total 2.9), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.4% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Tammeka have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Nõmme United.

Score Matrix
↕ Tammeka Nõmme United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4% 7.2% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.7% 11.4% 7.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.1% 6.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.8% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Recent form
W Kuressaare 1–0
W Paide 0–1
L Laagri 1–0
L FC Levadia Tallinn 1–2
D Vaprus 0–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 24%
L Paide 2–3
W Vaprus 2–3
W Kuressaare 2–1
L Kalju Nomme 7–1
L Laagri 1–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 15%
Playing profile
Tammeka Tammeka
Attack
21
Defence
67
Form
44
Nõmme United Nõmme United
Attack
47
Defence
46
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Tammeka
0
Draw
0
Nõmme United
W 21 Mar 2026 Meistriliiga 3–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 11 27
2 Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 11 22
3 Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 11 21
4 Paide Paide 11 20
5 Laagri Laagri 11 16
6 Nõmme United Nõmme United 11 13
7 Tammeka Tammeka 11 13
8 Vaprus Vaprus 11 13
9 Kuressaare Kuressaare 11 9
10 Trans Narva Trans Narva 11 6
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Tammeka vs Nõmme United?
The model gives Tammeka a 42% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 31% for an Nõmme United win.
How many goals are expected in Tammeka vs Nõmme United?
Expected goals: Tammeka 1.6, Nõmme United 1.3 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Tammeka vs Nõmme United?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.4%.