USL Championship
· Group Stage
May 03, 2026 01:30
Mattheus
(ast. R. Cicerone)
53'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tampa Bay Rowdies a 47% win probability (draw 27%, Indy Eleven 24%). The final result was Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–0 Indy Eleven.
Match statistics
Match Events
D. Acoff
21'
32'
P. Craig
L. Hilton
/ Pedro Becker
46'
D. Acoff
/ C. Ostrem
46'
⚽Mattheus
· ast. R. Cicerone
53'
K. Henderlong
/ E. Conway
60'
62'
H. Barry
/
L. Mesanvi
Mattheus
/ L. Perez
73'
75'
M. Omar
/
A. Quinn
75'
E. Kizza
/
N. Okello
R. Cicerone
/ M. Micaletto
83'
84'
D. Sing
/
L. Neidlinger
Pre-match prediction
47.81%
Tampa ←
27.43%
X
24.76%
Indy
we assigned to the actual result (Tampa Bay Rowdies)
47.81%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.18
—
—
1.02
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven?
The final score was Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–0 Indy Eleven.
What did the model predict before Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Tampa Bay Rowdies win, 27% to a draw, and 24% to an Indy Eleven win.