Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 3
May 01, 2026 02:00
M. Garay
(ast. S. Lopez)
14'
I. Russo
(ast. R. Arias)
28'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tigre a 33% win probability (draw 42%, America de Cali 23%). The final result was Tigre 2–0 America de Cali.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
2
0.79
Actual xG
0.37
3
Saves
1
32%
Possession
68%
3
Corners
2
13
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
J. Laso
/ A. Barrionuevo
6'
⚽M. Garay
· ast. S. Lopez
14'
⚽I. Russo
· ast. R. Arias
28'
M. Garay
31'
J. Elias
35'
45'+2
A. Mosquera
55'
M. Torres
58'
J. Lucumi
/
T. Angel
63'
D. Borrero
/
Y. Guzman
M. Garay
/ J. Saralegui
73'
75'
A. Ramos
/
R. Carrascal
76'
B. Correa
/
L. M. Mina
J. Elias
/ J. Villalba
83'
E. Cabrera
/ D. Romero
83'
S. Lopez
/ G. Pineiro
83'
Pre-match prediction
33.72%
Tigre ←
42.44%
X
23.84%
America
we assigned to the actual result (Tigre)
33.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.70
0.79
+0.09
0.56
0.37
-0.19
Tigre dominated by xG (0.79 vs 0.37).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
F. T. Zenobio
G
24
F. Alvarez
D
42
R. Arias
1 👟
D
2
J. Laso
6'
D
4
Valentín Moreno
D
5
B. Leyes
M
30
Jalil Elias
83'
M
22
Santiago López
1 👟
83'
M
33
E. Cabrera
83'
M
8
Martín Garay
1 ⚽
74'
M
29
I. Russo
1 ⚽
F
I. Russo
1 ⚽
F
Bench
9
D. Romero
10'
F
D. Romero
10'
F
23
Gonzalo Piñeiro
10'
M
17
G. Soto
D
55
J. Mosqueira
M
10
J. Saralegui
19'
M
32
J. Villalba
10'
D
3
N. Banegas
D
21
S. Medina
M
11
T. Serrago
M
1
Jean Fernandes
G
Jean Fernandes
G
30
Omar Bertel
D
Omar Bertel
D
4
Andrés Mosquera
D
Andrés Mosquera
D
2
M. Torres
D
M. Torres
D
28
Luis Mina
76'
D
Luis Mina
76'
D
5
Josen Escobar
M
Josen Escobar
M
15
Rafael Carrascal
75'
M
Rafael Carrascal
75'
M
7
Jhon Murillo
M
Jhon Murillo
M
10
Yeison Guzmán
63'
M
21
T. Ángel
58'
M
T. Ángel
58'
M
9
J. Valencia
F
J. Valencia
F
Bench
20
Adrián Ramos
18'
F
Adrián Ramos
18'
F
16
Brayan Correa
17'
D
Brayan Correa
17'
D
24
Cristian Tovar
D
Cristian Tovar
D
11
Darwin Machís
F
Darwin Machís
F
17
Jan Lucumí
35'
F
Jan Lucumí
35'
F
25
Joel Romero
M
Joel Romero
M
12
Jorge Soto
G
Jorge Soto
G
6
José Cavadia
M
José Cavadia
M
22
Nicolás Hernández
D
Nicolás Hernández
D
19
Tilman Palacios
F
Tilman Palacios
F
Best on the pitch
I. Russo
F · Tigre
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
Santiago López
M · Tigre
7.20
1 👟
· 24 pass
Martín Garay
M · Tigre
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
F. T. Zenobio
G · Tigre
6.90
· 22 pass
F. Alvarez
D · Tigre
6.90
1 shots
· 30 pass
B. Leyes
M · Tigre
6.90
· 26 pass
Tigre — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. T. Zenobio | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 9% | — | — | — |
| F. Alvarez | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Arias | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 25 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. Laso | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Valentín Moreno | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Leyes | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | 5 | — | — |
| Jalil Elias | M | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Santiago López | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Cabrera | M | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Martín Garay | M | 74 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Russo | F | 93 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Romero | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Piñeiro | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| J. Saralegui | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| J. Villalba | D | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
America de Cali — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Fernandes | G | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Omar Bertel | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 72 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| Andrés Mosquera | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 67 | 60% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Torres | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 63 | 47% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luis Mina | D | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Josen Escobar | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 62 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Carrascal | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhon Murillo | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Yeison Guzmán | M | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| T. Ángel | M | 58 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Valencia | F | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Adrián Ramos | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Brayan Correa | D | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Jan Lucumí | F | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tigre vs America de Cali?
The final score was Tigre 2–0 America de Cali.
What did the model predict before Tigre vs America de Cali?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Tigre win, 42% to a draw, and 23% to an America de Cali win.