Liga MX
· Clausura - 14
April 12, 2026 01:00
J. Brunetta
(ast. R. Aguirre)
16'
R. Aguirre
(ast. A. Correa)
42'
A. Correa
(ast. J. Brunetta)
46'
J. Brunetta
(ast. F. Gorriaran)
80'
25'
(ast. B. Gonzalez)
D. Aguirre
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tigres UANL a 39% win probability (draw 26%, Guadalajara Chivas 33%). The final result was Tigres UANL 4–1 Guadalajara Chivas. In 3 previous meetings, Tigres UANL have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Guadalajara Chivas.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
15
6
Shots on target
7
1.18
Actual xG
0.92
6
Saves
2
33%
Possession
67%
0
Corners
7
20
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
R. Aguirre
9'
⚽J. Brunetta
· ast. R. Aguirre
16'
R. Guerrero
22'
25'
ast. B. Gonzalez ·
D. Aguirre⚽
⚽R. Aguirre
· ast. A. Correa
42'
F. Gorriaran
45'+3
46'
S. Sandoval
/
M. Gomez
⚽A. Correa
· ast. J. Brunetta
46'
57'
B. Gutierrez
/
D. Campillo Del Campo
58'
R. Marin
/
E. Alvarez
R. Aguirre
/ Romulo
62'
65'
B. Gutierrez
66'
O. Whalley
67'
H. Camberos
/
B. Gonzalez
J. Angulo
/ J. Vigon
77'
77'
M. Tapias
/
D. Aguirre
⚽J. Brunetta
· ast. F. Gorriaran
80'
J. Brunetta
/ D. A. Sanchez Guevara
85'
Pre-match prediction
39.26%
Tigres ←
26.87%
X
33.87%
Guadalajara
we assigned to the actual result (Tigres UANL)
39.26%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.28
1.18
-0.1
1.36
0.92
-0.44
xG dominance was balanced (1.18 – 0.92).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
27
Jesús Angulo
77'
D
Jesús Angulo
77'
D
33
Rafael Guerrero
D
Rafael Guerrero
D
28
Joaquim
D
14
D
5
César Araújo
M
César Araújo
M
8
F. Gorriaran
1 👟
M
77
O. Herrera
M
11
Juan Brunetta
2 ⚽
1 👟
85'
M
Juan Brunetta
2 ⚽
1 👟
85'
M
7
Ángel Correa
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Ángel Correa
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
17
R. Aguirre
1 ⚽
1 👟
62'
F
R. Aguirre
1 ⚽
1 👟
62'
F
Bench
10
André-Pierre Gignac
F
André-Pierre Gignac
F
2
Diego Reyes
D
Diego Reyes
D
30
Diego Sánchez
12'
F
Diego Sánchez
12'
F
23
Rômulo Zwarg
28'
M
Rômulo Zwarg
28'
M
204
Simeone
M
1
G
2
José Castillo
D
José Castillo
D
7
L. Romo
D
19
Diego Campillo
57'
D
Diego Campillo
57'
D
5
Bryan González
1 👟
67'
M
Bryan González
1 👟
67'
M
28
Fernando González
M
Fernando González
M
23
D. Aguirre
1 ⚽
77'
M
24
Miguel Gómez
45'
M
Miguel Gómez
45'
M
10
Efrain Alvarez
58'
F
Efrain Alvarez
58'
F
25
R. Alvarado
F
34
A. González
F
A. González
F
Bench
11
B. Gutiérrez
33'
M
B. Gutiérrez
33'
M
26
Hugo Camberos
23'
M
Hugo Camberos
23'
M
13
Óscar Whalley
G
Óscar Whalley
G
17
Ricardo Marín
32'
F
Ricardo Marín
32'
F
Best on the pitch
Juan Brunetta
M · Tigres
9.00
2 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots
· 12 pass
Ángel Correa
M · Tigres
8.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 19 pass
G · Tigres
7.60
· 44 pass
R. Aguirre
F · Tigres
7.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 12 pass
Joaquim
D · Tigres
7.30
· 43 pass
César Araújo
M · Tigres
7.30
· 21 pass
Tigres UANL — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 44 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Jesús Angulo | D | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Rafael Guerrero | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| Joaquim | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 2 | — | — | |
| César Araújo | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Gorriaran | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Herrera | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Brunetta | M | 85 | 9.00 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Ángel Correa | M | 90 | 8.70 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Aguirre | F | 62 | 7.50 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Diego Sánchez | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Rômulo Zwarg | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
Guadalajara Chivas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| José Castillo | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Romo | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 79 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Campillo | D | 57 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Bryan González | M | 67 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Fernando González | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 73 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Aguirre | M | 77 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 42 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Miguel Gómez | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Efrain Alvarez | F | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Alvarado | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 72 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| A. González | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Gutiérrez | M | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Hugo Camberos | M | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Ricardo Marín | F | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The final score was Tigres UANL 4–1 Guadalajara Chivas.
What did the model predict before Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Tigres UANL win, 26% to a draw, and 33% to an Guadalajara Chivas win.